LMFS
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Don't worry, the "Felon" will never be ordered in numbersWill the PAK DP get bought in numbers, after the Felon has been?
Don't worry, the "Felon" will never be ordered in numbersWill the PAK DP get bought in numbers, after the Felon has been?
Just trying to get a count of how many aircrafts are going to be bought concurrently, PAK FA, PAK DP, PAK DA, PAK TA, and the IL-276?Don't worry, the "Felon" will never be ordered in numbers
-Su-57, yes.Just trying to get a count of how many aircrafts are going to be bought concurrently, PAK FA, PAK DP, PAK DA, PAK TA, and the IL-276?Don't worry, the "Felon" will never be ordered in numbers
Forgot about the Tu-160M2, either way that's a lot of spending with Armata and that family supposed to be inducted. Hard to see some systems not getting cut. Either way, it doesn't leave much room for Checkmate.-Su-57, yes.
-PAK-DA yes, but that will take a while to scale alongside Tu-160M2.
-PAK-DP is a few design bureau studies and nothing past that AFAIK. I don't see the subject being revisited for many years.
-PAK-TA serious R&D is supposed to begin only post 2025, so that won't be in production until a decade from now at the earliest.
-Il-276 is basically dead and on the back-burner for now. This decade will see Il-76 and Il-112 procurement.
-Possibility of Il-114 being slotted for some military role.
-Probably Yak-152 and maybe a light jet trainer
-Modernized Legacy birds (Su-30,34,35, Yak-130, MiG-35)
-Some foreign stuff assembled at UZGA probably as well, incl. Diamond and Let
That covers most non UAV and helicopter procurement for the next few years I think, anyone feel free to correct me.
As for Armata, the first state order are quite small, so they as usuall will stretch more orders across several yearly budget.Forgot about the Tu-160M2, either way that's a lot of spending with Armata and that family supposed to be inducted. Hard to see some systems not getting cut. Either way, it doesn't leave much room for Checkmate.-Su-57, yes.
-PAK-DA yes, but that will take a while to scale alongside Tu-160M2.
-PAK-DP is a few design bureau studies and nothing past that AFAIK. I don't see the subject being revisited for many years.
-PAK-TA serious R&D is supposed to begin only post 2025, so that won't be in production until a decade from now at the earliest.
-Il-276 is basically dead and on the back-burner for now. This decade will see Il-76 and Il-112 procurement.
-Possibility of Il-114 being slotted for some military role.
-Probably Yak-152 and maybe a light jet trainer
-Modernized Legacy birds (Su-30,34,35, Yak-130, MiG-35)
-Some foreign stuff assembled at UZGA probably as well, incl. Diamond and Let
That covers most non UAV and helicopter procurement for the next few years I think, anyone feel free to correct me.
but in fairness, the Airforce have a less portion of the defence budget cake. Navy about the same as last years and Army has the fat slice this time.
So Sukhoi better hope the UAE doesn't buy the F35s after all.I would find it truly refreshing if someone, for a change, could illustrate those claims with actual budgetary figures that prove that Russian military can't handle basic arithmetic...
I would find it truly refreshing if someone, for a change, could illustrate those claims with actual budgetary figures that prove that Russian military can't handle basic arithmetic...
Well, that is 1:26:11 too much reflection for many. Much better to keep pumping proud ignorance as if wishful thinking matters in any way in the real world.I don't have any spreadsheet.
But here is a great insight into how the Russian State allocate its defence spending.
I've also read Turkey and Egypt being touted as potential markets.So Sukhoi better hope the UAE doesn't buy the F35s after all.I would find it truly refreshing if someone, for a change, could illustrate those claims with actual budgetary figures that prove that Russian military can't handle basic arithmetic...
Russia’s New Jet Fighter Aims to Rival U.S. in Air—and on Geopolitical Map
The Checkmate military aircraft could compete with the Lockheed Martin F-35 and contest U.S. strategic leverage if Russian manufacturers can get it off the ground.www.wsj.com
Question, if I may: is the engine type relevant in this estimation, is it changing weight for instance? In my view, the plane equipped with izd. 30 may have a stronger structure and keep or even improve TWR, but I don't know if you are making such considerations here.Here are my estimations for "75" with "izdelie 30" engine:
Wingspan 11.7 ... 11.82 m (38,8 ft)
Wing area 60.2 m² (648 ft²)
Internal fuel < 5700 kg (12566 lb)
Empty weight < 11340 kg (25 000 lb)
Normal takeoff 17888 kg (39 450 lb)
MTOW 24550 kg (54 100 lb)
Question, if I may: is the engine type relevant in this estimation, is it changing weight for instance? In my view, the plane equipped with izd. 30 may have a stronger structure and keep or even improve TWR, but I don't know if you are making such considerations here.Here are my estimations for "75" with "izdelie 30" engine:
Wingspan 11.7 ... 11.82 m (38,8 ft)
Wing area 60.2 m² (648 ft²)
Internal fuel < 5700 kg (12566 lb)
Empty weight < 11340 kg (25 000 lb)
Normal takeoff 17888 kg (39 450 lb)
MTOW 24550 kg (54 100 lb)
I would say that the fuel estimate is a bit low, but the other numbers look rather ok, apart from the precision which I think is a bit premature, given the uncertainty. To me ca. 11 t empty + 7 t fuel would match the 18 t TOW provided previously, and that would be possible while maintaining the same TWR empty of the F-35A, which is a necessary reference as the main current market competitor, with a 16 tf evolution of the izd. 117. The plane with the izd. 30 would further improve in that regard.
I think it's better to calculate TWR after the portion of fuel is spent, and the remaining amount gives eqv. range.The aircraft could have a lower TWR than the F-35A
Yes. "Izdelie 30" expected to have much higher thrust-to-weight ratio itself. Given almost the same thrust, engine should be lighter compared to AL-41F1-driven planes.Question, if I may: is the engine type relevant in this estimation, is it changing weight for instance?
5700 kg already the upper bound: it's the necessary amount to reach 2900 km range, assuming lift-to-drag ratio on par with the Su-27. There are two reasons I think the amount of fuel could be lower:I would say that the fuel estimate is a bit low
Pay no attention on this I decided to get almost raw numbers because of convertions to imperial values, so everybody could round them as he wants. I'm not be surprised if the difference between my and the real values is more than 10%.the precision
Huh, haven't seen this. I though it was mentioned to have better fuel efficiency tho?But officials say the typical fuel consumption will be the same.
Sure, but it is always better not having to fight back one argument of your competitors at all. So if a design compromise has to be taken (like reduce weight with a weaker structure or have worse TWR), it seems the ultimate overload capability of the plane was not rated as the top priority. But I agree even with worse TWR the plane has many arguments and that politics will play a bigger role in many ways than pure specs.The aircraft could have a lower TWR than the F-35A and still try to undercut it in cost or through providing additional capabilities (e.g. high diametre missiles).
We have collected most of the "official" statements about izd. 30 recently in the thread of the Su-57. One third lower specific weight has been stated, based on that a max thrust of 18 tf @1400 kg seems a reasonable estimate, there is solid evidence supporting this instead of the engine having the same thrust and much lower weight.Yes. "Izdelie 30" expected to have much higher thrust-to-weight ratio itself. Given almost the same thrust, engine should be lighter compared to AL-41F1-driven planes.
I assume you have applied the Breguet range equation right? Did you try it with the F-35A (2800 km with 8.3 t internal fuel) or MiG-35 (2000 km with ca. 5 t)? Since it has been said the izd. will preserve the SFC, we more or less have that value already. But in any case, by now the izd. 117 and 117S are the engines available for the plane, not the izd. 30.5700 kg already the upper bound: it's the necessary amount to reach 2900 km range, assuming lift-to-drag ratio on par with the Su-27. There are two reasons I think the amount of fuel could be lower:
- specific fuel consumption of "izdelie 30" could be better because of higher turbine's temperature and newer afterburner, which gives less drag in the cruise. But officials say the typical fuel consumption will be the same.
- range was calculated under the condition of five rockets in the bay being launched after halfway.
The lower bound for the fuel amount is ~4900 kg (given 7,7% better lift-to-drag ratio than Su-27 and no payload in the bays).
12000kg empty equipped (F-35 is 13,290 kg)Question, if I may: is the engine type relevant in this estimation, is it changing weight for instance? In my view, the plane equipped with izd. 30 may have a stronger structure and keep or even improve TWR, but I don't know if you are making such considerations here.Here are my estimations for "75" with "izdelie 30" engine:
Wingspan 11.7 ... 11.82 m (38,8 ft)
Wing area 60.2 m² (648 ft²)
Internal fuel < 5700 kg (12566 lb)
Empty weight < 11340 kg (25 000 lb)
Normal takeoff 17888 kg (39 450 lb)
MTOW 24550 kg (54 100 lb)
I would say that the fuel estimate is a bit low, but the other numbers look rather ok, apart from the precision which I think is a bit premature, given the uncertainty. To me ca. 11 t empty + 7 t fuel would match the 18 t TOW provided previously, and that would be possible while maintaining the same TWR empty of the F-35A, which is a necessary reference as the main current market competitor, with a 16 tf evolution of the izd. 117. The plane with the izd. 30 would further improve in that regard.
With that empty weight estimate for the LTS putting it clearly in the same size ballpark of the F-35, why would the later need 60% more fuel for roughly the same (or even less) range?12000kg empty equipped (F-35 is 13,290 kg)
5250kg fuel
750kg missiles (3 x RVV-MD, 2 x RVV-SD)
= 18,000kg.
TWR at 50% internal fuel = 0.97 (Izdeliye 117) or 1.04 (Developed Izdeliye 117) or 1.1+ (Ideliyie 30)
Sure, but it is always better not having to fight back one argument of your competitors at all. So if a design compromise has to be taken (like reduce weight with a weaker structure or have worse TWR), it seems the ultimate overload capability of the plane was not rated as the top priority. But I agree even with worse TWR the plane has many arguments and that politics will play a bigger role in many ways than pure specs.The aircraft could have a lower TWR than the F-35A and still try to undercut it in cost or through providing additional capabilities (e.g. high diametre missiles).
Su-35 has 3600 km range with 11.5 t internal fuel, so that value for the SK is interesting indeed.Su-27SK fuel load - 5240kg (normal) 9400kg (max)
Normal TOW 23,400kg (Fuel fraction: 0.22)
Max Fuel TOW (normal TOW + full fuel) 27560kg (Fuel fraction: 0.34)
Max TOW 33,000kg (Fuel fraction: 0.28)
Max range (from manual) : 3680km.
Su-27UB has exactly the same fuel load and engines but due to increased drag gets only 3000km range.
I assume Sukhoi are using broadly the same range calculation methodology for Checkmate as Su-27SK, so 2900km compares to 3680km for Su-27SK = 78% of the range. Range is related to fuel fraction. If the Checkmate had 7000kg fuel for 18000kg TOW = fuel fraction of 0.38, which would mean if range is only 2900km then it must be notably draggier or higher cruise sfc compared to Su-27.
When comparing to F-35 - we don't know the exact flight profile, or any other details, for Checkmate range figure. We can guess that is a ferry flight, clean, i.e. no external weapons, at optimum speed and altitude. Is it 2900km and the plane is empty and crashes, out of fuel? 10% fuel reserve on landing?
Therefore its difficult to compare with F-35 figures which also don't give details.
Regarding weight, if dimension calculated by e.g. Paralay are reasonably accurate its hard to see how Checkmate would be 2,290kg lighter (e.g. 11t) than F-35.
All speculation of course. We don't have any real weight figures.
The MiG-29 has 3.5 t internal fuel, that is the reason for me saying that the LTS may have roughly twice the fuel for ca. twice the range.I'm not disagreeing in principle.
But we're talking about delivering 800kg of internally stored ordinance at twice the range of the Mig-29,
Being faster is pretty easy given the design of the F-35 is not optimized for the supersonic flight. The LTS has a totally different bay layout that results in a longer, more slender fuselage which should quite naturally lead to lower supersonic drag.while being faster than the F-35 and being capable of super cruise - and doing all of that with ~93 kN instead of ~99 kN (Mig-29) or ~128 kN (F-35) of thrust.
That is what I assume too. 5G fighters have big fuselages with big internal volume due to the internal bays, it is just logical to use that for increased range, the same way F-35 does. And that translates in low TWR of course. For instance a F-35A at MTOW will be roughly 0.63, almost exactly the same as a LTS would, with 11 t empty weight, 7.4 payload and 7 t fuel, for a 16 tf engine. Coincidence?I wouldn't be surprised if it is relatively heavy at take-offs in order to achieve that range (i.e. low loaded power-to-weight ratio),
Don't quite get that sentence. But sustained turn has two different relevant aspects in the LTS:and has worse overall sustained manoeuvrability have to be sacrificed in order to reduce drag during cruise.
Seeing how the Su-57 takes off on the spot, with the same wings, and without even bothering deploying flaps, leaves me no doubt the lift generating capabilities of the LTS can be really outstanding. As said, the wing load is between low and ridiculously low. I don't know how such big wing surface reflects in skin friction drag, but it is clear that Sukhoi opted for the advantages of having big wings instead of keeping that drag contribution at a minimum like in the F-35.That said the STOLL requirement would go against this. But I wouldn't be surprised if the STOLL performance can only be achieved with reduced fuel or if it has to burn off a significant amount of fuel on the outboard leg before it can super cruise.
The range given for the F-35A is a max range in hi-hi-hi conditions, optimal cruising with internal AAM load, so as close as possible to the max range on internal fuel of Russian manufacturers. A 60% difference is not justified because of fuel reserve issues.
The overload capability is lower than the standard with 8 g, that would restrict the manoeuvring at low to medium altitude compared to 9 g aircraft
Artwork, I think, is just more "art" than "work"Artwork is great, but I'm not sure if that model has sufficient space allocated to the internal airframe structures, which at certain sections have to be quite wide and bulky to carry all the loads. For example, I'd think that most of the dorsal fuel tank would not be like as depicted, one uninterrupted long tank, since the structural spine of the plane would take up most of that space.
It was said that side bay can keep 250 caliber bomb - KAB or FAB. So it may be happen that side bay can fit RVV-SD or Izd. 180RVV-SD (R-77-1) are not carried internally
No? Why? Mine was RVV-SD (izd. 180), as showed on MAKS.RVV-SD (R-77-1) are not carried internally
Sounds like a lot of work to me. Anyway, keep it up!Artwork, I think, is just more "art" than "work"Artwork is great, but I'm not sure if that model has sufficient space allocated to the internal airframe structures, which at certain sections have to be quite wide and bulky to carry all the loads. For example, I'd think that most of the dorsal fuel tank would not be like as depicted, one uninterrupted long tank, since the structural spine of the plane would take up most of that space.
But for doing that I first had to model the side bays (the way we know they are) and give them enough internal volume to carry a RVV-SD with the associated launcher and adapter, next the main weapons bay with space for Kh-69 and UVKU-50U launcher, then I had to imagine how the air duct goes from the known intake to the guessed position of the engine inlet, without affecting the weapon bays, and also so the air duct left enough space for fuel and cockpit (and a second seat.. for the two seater).
Then, I use the remaining internal space with a 10% to 15% less for airframe structure to "calculate" the available amount of fuel, measured in liters. The "uninterrupted long tank(s)" are just a visual help.
But then, this is just some fanwork done on my little available time after childs go to sleep.. after 11 pm up to 2 am.
Best regards
That's doubtful. RVV-SD should be carried in the central bay under the belly. The presentation at MAKS said 5 missiles altogether can be carried internally. With the 2 RVV-MD carried in the lateral bays, logic suggests the 3 remaining missiles are carried in the central bay. Those are likely to be RVV-SD.RVV-SD (R-77-1) are not carried internally
Logic suggests that you want MRAAMs besides your A2G loadout taking all of the main bay, and not only SRAAM. Maybe it is not possible, space wise, but tactically it would make full sense. And the side bays are quite long and deep from what we have seen.That's doubtful. RVV-SD should be carried in the central bay under the belly. The presentation at MAKS said 5 missiles altogether can be carried internally. With the 2 RVV-MD carried in the lateral bays, logic suggests the 3 remaining missiles are carried in the central bay. Those are likely to be RVV-SD.