Interesting theory, considering its radar (if any) is going to be considerably worse at the AWACS role than the Su-35's own.
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Interesting leading edges are interesting
Things you couldn't make up...
That said:
<insert facepalm meme here>
Where to start... so based on the even older F100-PW220 engine alone, the X-47C was not a stealth drone either? Okay...
Or the fact that even the F-35 is still riveted aluminium to a non-trivial extent, while the F-117 was actually almost *all* riveted aluminium - both not stealth aircraft either, clearly.
Finally, the video provides a nice, clear view of torn CFRP skin with 45° fiber tow remains, proving point blank that the guy is oblivious to what CFRP actually looks like even when it's staring him in the face.
(Not directed at you Deino, I don't mean to shoot the messenger)
Who are you to go against an "open source intelligence" twitter expert?Things you couldn't make up...
That said:
<insert facepalm meme here>
Where to start... so based on the even older F100-PW220 engine alone, the X-47C was not a stealth drone either? Okay...
Or the fact that even the F-35 is still riveted aluminium to a non-trivial extent, while the F-117 was actually almost *all* riveted aluminium - both not stealth aircraft either, clearly.
Finally, the video provides a nice, clear view of torn CFRP skin with 45° fiber tow remains, proving point blank that the guy is oblivious to what CFRP actually looks like even when it's staring him in the face.
(Not directed at you Deino, I don't mean to shoot the messenger)
Reason for why it broke in such a huge piece
Was the missile strike a last resort in the event of a remote detonation failure?
If it really had a self destruction ordinance onboard, my guess was they didn't use an independent communication system for it so when they lost comms they lost the ability to blow it.Was the missile strike a last resort in the event of a remote detonation failure?
Really? Which parts are "riveted aluminum"?Things you couldn't make up...
That said:
<insert facepalm meme here>
Where to start... so based on the even older F100-PW220 engine alone, the X-47C was not a stealth drone either? Okay...
Or the fact that even the F-35 is still riveted aluminium to a non-trivial extent,
I was thinking more like "lost comms" not "hacked".Controversial. Remote control must be organized by directional phased arrays of the S-111 system. It is nearly impossible to intercept control organized through directional antennas.
Yup. US sent a plane after a Reaper (IIRC) that had lost comms, but by the time the plane caught up to the Reaper it had regained comms. They still shot it down.I suppose it cannot be ruled out, but I think it far, far more likely to be a fault in the control system. There is a rich history of losing control of UAVs only to have them bumbling into another country’s airspace, or a couple times the wrong continent IIRC.
Access panels, weapons bays, most of the internal structure...Really? Which parts are "riveted aluminum"?
Probably simple data-sharing from the S-70 to the manned Sukhois which means they themselves don't have to radiate. Not as good as battle management from an AWACS, but a nice advantage for the Su-35. Particularly if it can get in closer to the lines.Interesting theory, considering its radar (if any) is going to be considerably worse at the AWACS role than the Su-35's own.
Oh, oops! That's not good...It was shot already over Ukrainian airspace.
Definitely. Can only imagine the level of panic when the drone is not where it's supposed to be and you lose comms.Probably after desperate attempts to get rogue drone under control.
Definitely. Can only imagine the level of panic when the drone is not where it's supposed to be and you lose comms.
Of course not. We were never there.Not that that has ever happened of course….
I share similar opinion on the cause, however I don’t think that your hypothesis on the final moments is true.IMO, it was not a loss of comms, but problems with FCS, which turned drone into MiG-23 Belgium crash cosplayer. Because usually if link with operator is lost drone returns back to base after some time.
I think it was somewhere as follows: problems with FCS, whcih made drone fly straight, airplane leader + ground team tries to solve issue to no avail, then decision to destroy the drone is made. Leader plane scrambles to intercept and by the time it caught up drone was well within ukrainian airspace. Pilot killed it so close to make sure that drone is killed properly, instead of relying just on radar data.
That's my take it.
From what I've heard it was shot down over Russian-occupied territory but momentum took it to the Ukrainian side before it hit the deck.I share similar opinion on the cause, however I don’t think that your hypothesis on the final moments is true.
In my opinion: as the control was lost and Su-57 pilot scrambled to intercept drone, he tried to regain control using onboard S-111 array, indecisive to shoot it down without the order to do so. If the decision to shoot it down was taken as soon as the control was lost — the UCAV would be shot over Russian army controlled territory. So pilot just followed the aircraft, trying to return “UCAV back to its senses” until he received order to shoot it down. By that time they were 24 km deep into Ukrainian airspace.
From what I've heard it was shot down over Russian-occupied territory but momentum took it to the Ukrainian side before it hit the deck.
I wonder if anyone here like stealth flanker who has some understanding of stealth materials and features and is relatively unbiased on either side could comment on what we might be able to glean from the images.
well, if it wasn't flat before, it sure is nowPart of the flat nozzle?
View attachment 743251
There were multiple "weird" umpb strikes in the same area over last month, not corresponding with Ukrainian VKS tracking/warning channels.@Ainen : It was then most probably not on a recon mission but a strike one. The dual usage of their stealthiest known asset, high altitude and rugged glide bombs would suggest that launch should have occurred sometime earlier, probably much less than 5 minutes before (estimated cruise speed 900kph -250m/s - Glide range at alt <= 100km), otherwise they would have resorted to their usual attack profile (low alt toss).
The failure did then happen while the UAS and fighter where already flying in some sort of formation (probably loose). Both being seen in close formation suggests that the manned fighter aircraft might have closed-in for inspection before shooting it down.
The high energy egress move after is also remarkable.
It also probable that the S-70 had already started to manoeuvre out of its intended flight trajectory since it is curious to see a high flying stealth a/c cruising that close the FLOT at contrails height. Either it had already engaged in a slow descent or climb.
The shootdown is also atypical in the sense that the wreck came down almost complete but without the nose section despite the huge orange ball seen in the video. This would suggest that the missile didn't explode on impact but still shopped the nose tip section off going through. That is curious for what seems to have been an easy kill. See also how the airframe came down without being on fire, with the fuel tanks simply leaking by gapping holes. It would seem the missile went through without arming itself (too close a range?).
It stalled and desintegrated almost immediately after hit though; known overhead footage is Ukrainian.If travelling at 600mph at 20,000ft it won't stop moving just because it gets hit. Also, it was nowhere near 24km:
Even without special treatment, it should have very small RCS not just frontal but all aspect simply because of flying wing geometry clean enough contours no obvious radar traps , hidden engine compressor , flat nozzle, particularly against ground-based radars that only see the underside.This particular vehicle does not appear to be configured as a reduced observables vehicle. It may have been built as an aerodynamic or avionics testbed with no consideration for signature reduction.
In particular the leading edges of this vehicle have no RCS reduction treatments. This would be very obvious in the crash debris. An earlier vehicle, IIRC #2, appeared to have the expected edge treatments
It didn't:It stalled and desintegrated almost immediately after hit though; known overhead footage is Ukrainian.
Even without special treatment, it should have very small RCS not just frontal but all aspect simply because of flying wing geometry clean enough contours no obvious radar traps , hidden engine compressor , flat nozzle, particularly against ground-based radars that only see the underside.
Many ways to skin the cat and we do not know enough from picture or two you have from the crash to make such definite claimsNot really. The outer mold line of this aircraft is different materials with different electrical properties. The abrupt transition between aluminum and composite skins will produce a large radar return across a wide range of aspects. The composites themselves are a "radar trap", there is nothing that prevents radar from going right through them.
Untreated cavities are strong scattering sources. Of the cavities visible in the wreckage none appear to have been treated. A serpentine inlet duct does not do any good unless the inside is treated with an absorber.
Structural carbon fiber reinforced plastic, as used in aircraft fuselages and wings, is a radar reflector.
A composite material is composed primarily of a body constituent, or matrix, which gives it its bulk form. Additional structural constituents determine the in- ternal structure. These include flakes, fibers, particles, laminates, and fillers, as depicted in Fig. 7.19. The resultant properties of a combination of materials are determined in one of three ways. First, the net characteristics can be a simple sum- mation of the individual properties. An obvious example is a laminar composite, in which case electrical and thermal conductivity are given by a summation rule. A second way in which the properties of a composite can differ from those of the original materials is complementation. Each component contributes separate and distinct properties. Laminates and clad materials are examples. Finally, the third way is interaction. Each constituent supplements the others, and the final result is a material that has properties intermediate between those of the constituents or higher than those of both.
The four most common composites used in the aircraft industry are graphite/ epoxy, boron/epoxy, aramid/epoxy, and glass/epoxy. 17Extensive use of graphite/ epoxy is incorporated into the F/A-18 wing skins, horizontal and vertical tail fins, fuselage dorsal cover and avionics bay door, and speed brake. Graphite/epoxy is also in widespread use in commercial aircraft as well. The trend toward composites is not new; even older designs, such as the Lockheed L-1011, Boeing 727, and McDonnell-Douglas DC-10, made use of graphite/epoxy. Essentially, the entire structure of the Lear Fan 2100 is graphite/epoxy.
Scattering from a composite is determined as it is for any "pure" material; it is simply a matter of specifying/Zr, Er, tan 8,, and tan 8u. The complexity of the composite structure and constituents usually results in constitutive parameters that are at least mildly anisotropic and inhomogeneous. For example, fiber-reinforced materials have a dielectric constant that is slightly different for the electric field vector parallel to the fiber compared to the electric field vector perpendicular to the fiber. Likewise, the dielectric constant of each layer in a laminar composite can vary. Frequently, both these cases are treated by using an equivalent or effective permittivity and permeability. The electrical characteristics of several composite materials are summarized in Appendix E
The use of composites has both advantages and disadvantages insofar as the RCS is concerned. The (specular) reflection coefficients of these materials are usually less than those of metals. Traveling waves are also less of a problem because the surface impedance has a larger real part than a good conductor and the reactive part is not inductive. A disadvantage is that composites are penetrable; significant field strengths can exist in the interior of composite bodies. Interior metal structures that would normally be shielded by a conducting enclosure will scatter.
The penetration of waves through composites not only affects the RCS but also presents the potential for electromagnetic interference (EMI) between electronic systems. Care must be taken to shield and ground components properly, not only to reduce EMI but also for lightning protection. The latter usually requires embedding a mesh or wire grid inside the composite, which will also affect the RCS.