Part of Message 30.
In addition to those B707s BOAC received 12 VC10s and 17 Super VC10s, and serial numbers were allocated to 3 standard and 12 Super VC10s for BOAC but not built.
I think you're referring to this list:
https://www.vc10.net/Data/vickers_vc10_prodnumbers.html which shows constructors numbers for 3 Standard and 13 Super VC.10s for BOAC that weren't built. That's BOAC had firm orders for 45 VC.10s in 1960, but the total was reduced in stages to 42 and then 29.
According to Gardner.
Vickers, however, were, at the time, privately hopeful of further substantial sales to BOAC because they had seen a detailed BOAC forecast, sent to the Minister, which showed an eventual need, by 1967, not of thirty-five aircraft, but sixty-two, and, by Vickers’ reckoning, a sale of sixty-two VC.10s would prove profitable and Weybridge badly needed the work. So, in May 1957 the order was announced for thirty-five VC.10s for use on the southern and eastern routes but the aircraft was to have the important new capability of development to serve the North Atlantic. This later proviso was made to cover the further twenty-seven of the sixty-two aircraft mentioned in the BOAC statement to the Minister, and the contract, when signed for thirty-five aircraft in January 1958, included an option for twenty more.
Therefore, the situation in January 1958 was that BOAC had placed firm orders for 35 aircraft with options for 20 more for a total of 55 aircraft and all 55 were Standard VC.10s.
In January 1960, just as BOAC was being formed, Vickers ran into financial trouble over the VC.10. The cost estimates had been discovered to be under-estimated by “quite a lot” (as Sir George told the Select Committee) and, unless orders for ten of the twenty on option were made firm, the whole VC.10 production would be in jeopardy. These ten aircraft were to be of the developed type (Super VC.10), stretched and improved to be suitable for the North Atlantic, with maximum seating for 212 people.
Therefore, in January 1960, the Super VC.10 was what you call the VC10 Super 200.
In June 1960, the contract for the extra ten Super VC.10s was signed, making forty-five aircraft in all. Undoubtedly there was an element of duress about this extra order because the Minister had now added his pressure to that of Vickers, the VC.10 prospects being part of the Minister’s own plans for the formation of BAC. Certainly the incoming Chairman of BOAC, Sir Matthew Slattery, tried, unsuccessfully, to stop the contract being signed before he took office in July but was told that, because of Ministry pressure it was too late.
Therefore, the situation in June 1960 was that BOAC had placed firm orders for 45 VC.10s with options for 10 more for a total of 55 aircraft. Of the 45 on order 35 were Standard VC.10s and 10 were Super VC.10s with the latter being what you call the VC.10 Super 200.
During the next year, BOAC wanted the specification of the Super VC.10 altered downwards to 163 seats, and this was done, giving the aeroplane a smaller capacity but a greater suitability for its deployment on all BOAC routes, North Atlantic included. Both parties seemed happy with the new specification, and the overall contract was freely altered to fifteen Standard VC.10s and thirty Super VC.10s. Later, the fifteen Standards were reduced to twelve to keep the mounting cost of the whole order within the Treasury’s capital authority. BOAC paid £600,000 compensation to Vickers.
Therefore, the situation in 1962 was that BOAC had placed firm orders for 42 VC.10s with options for 10 more for a total of 52 aircraft. Of the 42 on order 12 were Standard VC.10s and 30 were Super VC.10s, with the latter being the 163-seat version rather than the 212-seat version.
So far. So good. However, two years later . . .
In January 1964, Sir Giles Guthrie became Chairman of BOAC (three months before the first Standard VC.10 services were introduced) and Guthrie immediately began drastically to re-organise BOAC, and its route structure. He first decided to cut the order for thirty Super VC.10s to seven and then to cancel the lot and buy six Boeing 707-320Cs instead. Prior to the publication of this decision, there had begun what appeared to be a BOAC-orchestrated campaign against the VC.10 in certain parts of the media, and this campaign did undoubted harm to sales prospects. It is hard to sell an aircraft whose own home customer is proclaiming lack its lack of faith in it from the housetops.
Therefore, the situation in January 1964 was that BOAC had placed firm orders for 12 VC.10s with option for no more for a total of 12. The 12 aircraft on order were all Standard VC.10s.
The Government, however, refused (July 1964) to accept the Guthrie all-American plan, and told him to take seventeen of the thirty Super VC.10s to meet his new estimated requirements up to 1967, and to keep ten more on option – production for BOAC to be “suspended” after the seventeenth aircraft. At the same time, the remaining three BOAC Super VC.10 positions were allocated to the Royal Air Force, which had already increased its VC.10 order to eleven, this new decision thus bringing the RAF total to fourteen. All fourteen of the RAF aircraft were made to the “mixture” specification already described.
Therefore, the situation in July 1964 was that BOAC had placed firm orders 29 VC.10s with options for 10 more for a total of 39 aircraft. Of the 29 on order 12 were Standard VC.10s and 17 were Super VC.10s, with the latter being the 163-seat version rather than the 212-seat version.
Finally, in March 1966 – a year after the Super VC.10 had entered service on the North Atlantic – BOAC cancelled its “suspended” option for ten aircraft and paid £7½ million in cancellation charges.
Therefore, the situation in March 1966 was that BOAC had placed firm orders for 29 VC.10s with options for no more for a total of 29. Of the 29 on order 12 were Standard VC.10s and 17 were Super VC.10s, with the latter being the 163-seat version rather than the 212-seat version.
Part of Message 30.
If the full 28" stretch VC10 Super 200 was built they'd be delivered from 1966, so there's likely nothing can be done about the first 18 B707s, they were delivered even before the first standard VC10. Even the 3 Cunard Eagle they got were likely too early to be replaced by VC10s, and the standards were unsuitable anyway.
First, ITTL the full 28' (not 28'') stretch VC.10 Super 200 would have been delivered from 1965 in place of the OTL Super VC.10 and all the Super VC.10s built IOTL would have been built to that standard ITTL.
Second, there's absolutely nothing that could be done about the first 18 Boeing 707s, because they were delivered 1960-63, while the Standard VC.10 entered service in 1964 and the Super VC.10 entered service in 1965.
Third, the 2 (not 3) Cunard Eagle Boeing 707s were delivered in 1962. Therefore, it's impossible for a pair of VC.10s to be built in their place ITTL.
Fourth, British Eagle International Airways ordered their pair of Boeing 707 on 06.01.67. Therefore, it's perfectly feasible for a pair of Super VC.10s to be ordered on the same date.
- IOTL one was delivered to Airlift International in 1967
- ITTL may be the VC.10s only US sale.
- The airline may sell it to BOAC in 1968. See below.
- The other was delivered to British Eagle on 21.12.67, but remained in Seattle until being registered as VR-BCP on 04.02.68.
- It was leased to Middle East Airlines between March 1968 and November 1968.
- So MEA would have operated one more VC.10 ITTL and one less Boeing 707 ITTL.
- The aircraft was sold to BOAC as G-ATZD on 06.12.68.
Fifth, there was the Boeing 707 (ordered by Saturn Airways) but delivered to BOAC on 27.06.68. I don't see Saturn Airways ordering a VC.10 ITTL. However, Airlift International and BOAC may do a swap. See below.
- In 1968 Airlift International buys the 707 originally ordered by Saturn Airways, instead of BOAC buying it.
- In 1968 Airlift International sells the VC.10 that it acquired in 1967 to BOAC.
I know this is 8 years before
"The Multi-Coloured Swap Shop", but where are Noel Edmonds and Keith
"Cheggers" Chegwin when you need them?
Part of Message 30.
However the final 11 were perfect candidates for replacement with Super 200s, the 12 BAC allocated serial numbers to. This would bring BOACs Super 200 fleet to 29.
It would be 32 Super 200s:
- 17 instead of the OTL Super VC.10s that were built for BOAC.
- 13 instead of the VC.10s that BOAC cancelled.
- 2 that British Eagle International ordered ITTL in place of their pair of Boeing 707s that they ordered IOTL.
Part of Message 30.
I struggle to believe that if BOAC had a fleet of 29 of the most capacious trans-Atlantic airliners in the world that no other top tier airline would buy a decent sized batch.
I struggle to believe that if BOAC had a fleet of 32 of the most capacious trans-Atlantic airliners in the world that a top tier airline would buy a decent sized batch.
- They already have some-to-many Boeing 707s and DC-8s.
- What they gain in extra revenue may be lost through increased operating costs due to operating two types of aircraft instead of one.
- BOAC obtained permission to buy its first 15 Boeing 707s (specifically for the Atlantic routes) by agreeing to buy 20 aircraft from British manufacturers.
- That's how the VC.10 came to be designed and built in the first place.
- None of the other top tier airlines had to do anything like that.
- Boeing and Douglas will fight back.
- They will develop new versions of the 707 and DC-8 in the same class as the Super 200.
- They will do everything that they can to get the 747 and DC-10 into service sooner.
For what its worth my guess is that making the Super VC.10 the 212-seat version rather than the 163-seat version won't increase the number sold.
If you want to increase the number of VC.10s sold ITTL (which you do - and so do I) the easiest way is to avoid BOAC's partially successful attempt to cancel all 30 Super VC.10s that it had on order at the beginning of 1964. That way another 17 VC.10s are built for VC.10, there are more sales to other airlines and it may remain in production for long enough for BAC to accept the Chinese order for 30 VC.10s.