USAF/USN 6th Gen Fighters - F/A-XX, F-X, NGAD, PCA, ASFS News & Analysis

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That would honestly be a nightmare scenario for USAF. They hate buying Navy planes!




I still see Boeing winning NGAD to keep 3 primes, and NG getting FAXX.

I'd laugh my ass off if the new Boeing plants end up making parts for LM and NG...



No, mostly because adding the US would add enormous delays to the program that GCAP cannot afford.



How so?
The US would have to give up ITAR, that's why Japan did not want to team with the US. Europe does not have similar ITAR restrictions.
 
Boy everybody, these discussions are like a good chess match to see where all this goes or like the game Clue: Col. Boeing killed the competition and did it in the parlor with a rubber chicken then cried fowl!
 
As what was stated by totoro, Boeing does have KC-46 (needs help but USAF already pregnant), T-7 (started good, now issues, Saab not happy), F-15EX (going well, Boeing don't screw it up), P-8 (going well). F-18 E/F, last four birds this year. NG and LM more than likely have new classified programs of various types which is logical and has been that way for a long time. I'm sure Phantom Works is active in the B-World but not to the level of NG and LM. NG has B-21 but there is more, just don't about them.
 
As what was stated by totoro, Boeing does have KC-46 (needs help but USAF already pregnant), T-7 (started good, now issues, Saab not happy), F-15EX (going well, Boeing don't screw it up), P-8 (going well). F-18 E/F, last four birds this year.
Boeing did already screw up with the F-15, the SA variant that the EX is built upon was over two years late to the Saudis in the middle teens.
 
As what was stated by totoro, Boeing does have KC-46 (needs help but USAF already pregnant), T-7 (started good, now issues, Saab not happy), F-15EX (going well, Boeing don't screw it up), P-8 (going well). F-18 E/F, last four birds this year. NG and LM more than likely have new classified programs of various types which is logical and has been that way for a long time. I'm sure Phantom Works is active in the B-World but not to the level of NG and LM. NG has B-21 but there is more, just don't about them.
You have an idea of what NG an LM classified assets could be ? new capacity ?
 
It is realy time to take the decision. When this story will end ? Time to President Trump to go on the decision.
 
You have an idea of what NG an LM classified assets could be ? new capacity ?

If we're referring to budget items reported in their respective Earnings Calls: (IMO) NG is the B-21/RQ-180 (likely) and their respective footprints; LM is NGAD. It looks like they will go with something like Palantir for AI/ML/JADC2 independence from the usual suspects. For the trifecta, Boeing gets the F/A-XX as part of civil-military fusion to get platforms pumping out at maximum rates. I think the new capacity is the Space Force superiority/orbital ISR dominance, applied like a beautiful rug which really ties the room together.
 
Did the USN ever state intent for the FA-XX's components to be domestically sourced like the NGAD program?
 
If we're referring to budget items reported in their respective Earnings Calls: (IMO) NG is the B-21/RQ-180 (likely) and their respective footprints; LM is NGAD. It looks like they will go with something like Palantir for AI/ML/JADC2 independence from the usual suspects. For the trifecta, Boeing gets the F/A-XX as part of civil-military fusion to get platforms pumping out at maximum rates. I think the new capacity is the Space Force superiority/orbital ISR dominance, applied like a beautiful rug which really ties the room together.
Awesome futur :eek:
 
I'm just putting this out there as food for thought. I'd be very interested in the group's opinion as you all seem quite knowledgeable. Many (many) years ago, a senior individual at NOC said to me, when we were knee deep in the YF-23 competition, that NOC had the bomber (B-2), the missile (TSSAM or Tri-Service Stand-Off Attack Missile), and therefore, there was no way the Pentagon would award NOC the fighter (the YF-23 competing with the YF-22). Today, NOC has the bomber (the B-21) and the missile (Sentinel). Does anyone think history could repeat itself with respect to NGAD (or F/A-XX)? All the eggs, basket, etc.
 
I'm just putting this out there as food for thought. I'd be very interested in the group's opinion as you all seem quite knowledgeable. Many (many) years ago, a senior individual at NOC said to me, when we were knee deep in the YF-23 competition, that NOC had the bomber (B-2), the missile (TSSAM or Tri-Service Stand-Off Attack Missile), and therefore, there was no way the Pentagon would award NOC the fighter (the YF-23 competing with the YF-22). Today, NOC has the bomber (the B-21) and the missile (Sentinel). Does anyone think history could repeat itself with respect to NGAD (or F/A-XX)? All the eggs, basket, etc.
Sustaining and protecting industry can be used to support the decision for one vendor over another. Today though the landscape is very different to what it was in the early 90s including the last supper held in 1993.
View: https://x.com/RepDeluzio/status/1623766840450195456/photo/1


What that ultimately means is that there are a limited number of suppliers today and that translates to some primes being subcontractors to others. ie with the F-35 NG is a significant supplier, for the F-22 Boeing is/was a significant supplier etc. Could easily see the same thing happening with F/A-XX and NGAD. For example with LM now out of F/A-XX they could be used as a supplier to either of the Primes still in the race and if LM won NGAD then they could use NG who withdrew, at least for now, from NGAD.

With CCA there is an obvious intent to broaden the supplier base but for F/A-XX and NGAD only the Primes are in the running. Ideally one vendor won't win both F/A-XX and NGAD. The US DoD also seems keen to maintain two fighter production lines in operation which points to no one vendor making a clean sweep. Additionally hopefully the USAF and USN have learnt from trying to force fixed price contracts on Industry for projects of this size, scope and technological maturity with the probable end result of delayed and descoped capability that results.
 
Damned interesting point good sir. And, of course, the reason I put it out there. Thanks.
 
I'm just putting this out there as food for thought. I'd be very interested in the group's opinion as you all seem quite knowledgeable. Many (many) years ago, a senior individual at NOC said to me, when we were knee deep in the YF-23 competition, that NOC had the bomber (B-2), the missile (TSSAM or Tri-Service Stand-Off Attack Missile), and therefore, there was no way the Pentagon would award NOC the fighter (the YF-23 competing with the YF-22). Today, NOC has the bomber (the B-21) and the missile (Sentinel). Does anyone think history could repeat itself with respect to NGAD (or F/A-XX)? All the eggs, basket, etc.
Even though NG has B-21, Sentinel and the still black so-called "RQ-180" which I know is real since I was asked in 2007 if I wanted to return to NG to work on a new black program but the "customer" did not want to go through the entire process to get me cleared since my clearances had been in-active for sometime, which was fine since I was already involved with Stratolaunch Roc during that time. NG could still be in the running for a substantial "known" program win (e.g. F/A-XX). Even though Boeing unfortunately is having major, self-inflicted corporate woes, Boeing still has; KC-46, F-15EX, MQ-25, T-7 and I think P-8 is still in production. Now with that said, NG and LM I'm sure have "other" and probably significant black programs which is logical. This goes from experience when I was with Northrop from 1986 to 1996.
 
I left NOC in 1999. The comment was made at a meeting with Bill Lawler, Len Malthan, Dr. George Grant, and I think Bill Haub was there too (but I'm relying on memory here which is not my strong suit).
 
I left NOC in 1999. The comment was made at a meeting with Bill Lawler, Len Malthan, Dr. George Grant, and I think Bill Haub was there too (but I'm relying on memory here which is not my strong suit).
Bill Lawler, that's a blast from the past. At Pico, I remember Jorge Diaz, Doug Woods (FCHIL), Roy Whites, Chris Hernandez and Scott Seymour. At the B-2 CTF, worked with Steve Sullivan.
 
One part about CCAs that doesn't make sense though, the Anduril YFQ-44 carries weapons externally, which will make it unstealthy. So how is it to operate with stealth aircraft like the F-22 or NGAD? Even if they fly at more standoff distances they still more vulnerable to getting picked off. The General Atomics YFQ-42 does have internal weapons bays so that might not be as much of concern.
 
One part about CCAs that doesn't make sense though, the Anduril YFQ-44 carries weapons externally, which will make it unstealthy. So how is it to operate with stealth aircraft like the F-22 or NGAD? Even if they fly at more standoff distances they still more vulnerable to getting picked off. The General Atomics YFQ-42 does have internal weapons bays so that might not be as much of concern.
That comes down to the CONOPS. Is the expectation the CCAS will fly as wingmen in the traditional sense, will they hunt in autonomous wolf packs etc. Some insightful comments can be found here, https://www.afa.org/app/uploads/202...orative-Combat-Aircraft-CONOPs-Transcript.pdf from the 2023 AFA war symposium, page 8 is a where I think it gets interesting.
 
One part about CCAs that doesn't make sense though, the Anduril YFQ-44 carries weapons externally, which will make it unstealthy. So how is it to operate with stealth aircraft like the F-22 or NGAD?

Likely designed for low-end/permissive threat environments
 
Personally hope Northrop Grumman takes the lead on F/A-XX, and the aircraft will be named after a cat.
Agreed. Wildcat II would be a fun name. Sadly, can't use Hellcat because of Dodge. Tomcat II would be a little too on point.



One part about CCAs that doesn't make sense though, the Anduril YFQ-44 carries weapons externally, which will make it unstealthy. So how is it to operate with stealth aircraft like the F-22 or NGAD? Even if they fly at more standoff distances they still more vulnerable to getting picked off. The General Atomics YFQ-42 does have internal weapons bays so that might not be as much of concern.
Those are Increment 1. Proving the CONOPS actually works.
 
Even though NG has B-21, Sentinel and the still black so-called "RQ-180" which I know is real since I was asked in 2007 if I wanted to return to NG to work on a new black program but the "customer" did not want to go through the entire process to get me cleared since my clearances had been in-active for sometime, which was fine since I was already involved with Stratolaunch Roc during that time. NG could still be in the running for a substantial "known" program win (e.g. F/A-XX). Even though Boeing unfortunately is having major, self-inflicted corporate woes, Boeing still has; KC-46, F-15EX, MQ-25, T-7 and I think P-8 is still in production. Now with that said, NG and LM I'm sure have "other" and probably significant black programs which is logical. This goes from experience when I was with Northrop from 1986 to 1996.
There are a lot of rumors about a Lockheed ISR new project to succeed the RQ-180 ? Do you think the RQ-180 is still in the air ?
 
One part about CCAs that doesn't make sense though, the Anduril YFQ-44 carries weapons externally, which will make it unstealthy. So how is it to operate with stealth aircraft like the F-22 or NGAD? Even if they fly at more standoff distances they still more vulnerable to getting picked off. The General Atomics YFQ-42 does have internal weapons bays so that might not be as much of concern.
How much confidence do we have that the Anduril Fury that gets shown around trade shows is, in fact, identical to the YFQ-44 the company is on contract for?
 
A flurry of NGAD/F/A-XX/CCA stories on the non-paywalled Aerospace Global News:

Lockheed Martin eliminated from US Navy’s F/A-XX next generation fighter programme

"Our friends at Breaking Defense, Valerie Insinna and Michael Marrow, broke the news that Lockheed Martin’s F/A-XX bid did not satisfy the US Navy’s criteria, and had been eliminated from the competition. They cited a “source with knowledge of the programme.”

https://aerospaceglobalnews.com/new...vys-f-a-xx-next-generation-fighter-programme/


Yes, we do need the Next Generation Air Dominance fighter to ensure future air superiority, USAF study concludes.

Details of the USAF’s review of the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) programme emerged during the Air & Space Forces Association’s 2025 Warfare Symposium on 5 March 2025, and during a previous presentation to the Hudson Institute on 26 February.

https://aerospaceglobalnews.com/new...-future-air-superiority-usaf-study-concludes/


US Air Force Collaborative Combat Aircraft gain Mission Design Series designations

On 3 March 2025, the US Air Force announced the official ‘Mission Design Series’ (MDS) designations of the General Atomics Gambit and Anduril Fury, which have become the General Atomics YFQ-42A and the Anduril YFQ-44A.

https://aerospaceglobalnews.com/new...raft-gain-mission-design-series-designations/
 
So that is LM eliminated from the F/A-XX program which leaves just Boeing and Northrop to go head to head. One question, will there be a fly off between Boeing and Northrop like the ATF/JSF before the winner gets selected?
 
So that is LM eliminated from the F/A-XX program which leaves just Boeing and Northrop to go head to head. One question, will there be a fly off between Boeing and Northrop like the ATF/JSF before the winner gets selected?
What I would give to see that again!
 
So that is LM eliminated from the F/A-XX program which leaves just Boeing and Northrop to go head to head. One question, will there be a fly off between Boeing and Northrop like the ATF/JSF before the winner gets selected?
Not directly IMO. Both NGAD and F/A-XX source selections were expected to be responses to RFP's and selection down to a single source. Whatever prototyping efforts occurred, happened during the demonstration phases (DARPA, USAF and USN) of these efforts with both services having flown at least one demonstrator to support their respective programs.
 
Not directly IMO. Both NGAD and F/A-XX source selections were expected to be responses to RFP's and selection down to a single source. Whatever prototyping efforts occurred, happened during the demonstration phases (DARPA, USAF and USN) of these efforts with both services having flown at least one demonstrator to support their respective programs.
And it's not unprecedented. Neither the F-14 or F-15 had competing flyoffs.
 
Damn, Oh well I was rather looking forward to a fly off. So it is going to be who has the best overall specifications that wins the F/A-XX/NGAD.
 
One part about CCAs that doesn't make sense though, the Anduril YFQ-44 carries weapons externally, which will make it unstealthy. So how is it to operate with stealth aircraft like the F-22 or NGAD? Even if they fly at more standoff distances they still more vulnerable to getting picked off. The General Atomics YFQ-42 does have internal weapons bays so that might not be as much of concern.

That comes down to the CONOPS. Is the expectation the CCAS will fly as wingmen in the traditional sense, will they hunt in autonomous wolf packs etc. Some insightful comments can be found here, https://www.afa.org/app/uploads/202...orative-Combat-Aircraft-CONOPs-Transcript.pdf from the 2023 AFA war symposium, page 8 is a where I think it gets interesting.

Mitchell Institute’s report on the need for CCA for disruptive warfare would also provide some interesting insight for how CCAs are planned to be used.

Edit: report in video form if you preferred that format.
 
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One part about CCAs that doesn't make sense though, the Anduril YFQ-44 carries weapons externally, which will make it unstealthy. So how is it to operate with stealth aircraft like the F-22 or NGAD? Even if they fly at more standoff distances they still more vulnerable to getting picked off. The General Atomics YFQ-42 does have internal weapons bays so that might not be as much of concern.

I thought that’s only phase one? If you want to get serious about requirements they won’t even have onboard radars…
 
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