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Official USAF news story on AF-09 arrival and 19 photos - http://www.eglin.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123264052
bobbymike said:Senators Ask Panetta for Estimate To Terminate JSF
DefenseAlert, July 14, 2011 -- The two leading members of the Senate Armed Services Committee have formally requested an estimate of the cost of terminating the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program, according to a letter addressed to Defense Secretary Leon Panetta today.
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bobbymike said:Senators Ask Panetta for Estimate To Terminate JSF
DefenseAlert, July 14, 2011 -- The two leading members of the Senate Armed Services Committee have formally requested an estimate of the cost of terminating the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program, according to a letter addressed to Defense Secretary Leon Panetta today.
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Triton said:bobbymike said:Senators Ask Panetta for Estimate To Terminate JSF
DefenseAlert, July 14, 2011 -- The two leading members of the Senate Armed Services Committee have formally requested an estimate of the cost of terminating the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program, according to a letter addressed to Defense Secretary Leon Panetta today.
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And how many times have we had rumors of the termination of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program? A cost estimate of termination is not an advocacy of termination.
LowObservable said:P was a little Pig,
Went out to take a walk;
Papa he said, 'If Piggy dead,
He'd all turn into Pork!'
- Edward Lear
However, it's not just "cost and testing issues". Everyone's got those.
It's a decade-and-counting of rosy promises, and pooh-poohing and suppressing critics, followed by failure to execute, and late and reluctant disclosure of delays and overruns.
Without that, the critics would have no ammunition.
I think that sums it up nicely.It's a decade-and-counting of rosy promises, and pooh-poohing and suppressing critics, followed by failure to execute, and late and reluctant disclosure of delays and overruns.
Sooner? If an existing design is ordered, possibly. There's still considerable development to be done on the F-35.And I suppose you think cancelling the F-35 would get us a replacement that is better for less money and sooner? No?
Arjen said:LowObservable:
I think that sums it up nicely.It's a decade-and-counting of rosy promises, and pooh-poohing and suppressing critics, followed by failure to execute, and late and reluctant disclosure of delays and overruns.
sferrin:
Sooner? If an existing design is ordered, possibly. There's still considerable development to be done on the F-35.And I suppose you think cancelling the F-35 would get us a replacement that is better for less money and sooner? No?
Better? Throw enough money at another design, see what happens. It might be an aircraft more suited to customers' needs.
For less money? Much has already been spent, money that won't be returned.
Better for less money and sooner? All at the same time? Anyone ought to know better than that, and I don't see LowObservable claiming that.
You'd have to ask LowObservable. My point is this: F-35 is late and over-budget. Perhaps good money is being thrown after bad, and the whole project should be shelved: money might be better spent on other aircraft. Manufacturer and primary customer have been less than reliable sources of information, and politicians are asking questions. Rightly so.Then what is his point?
That's nothing new in defense procurement.Arjen said:My point is this: F-35 is late and over-budget.
The only way to advance the industry is to keep moving forward. You can't build P-51s forever just because they're cheaper.Arjen said:Perhaps good money is being thrown after bad, and the whole project should be shelved: money might be better spent on other aircraft.
Politicians should ask questions but I'd prefer they were politicians familiar with engineering, manufacturing, and war, not clueless lawyers looking for cheapshots for their latest soundbites.[/quote][/quote]Arjen said:Manufacturer and primary customer have been less than reliable sources of information, and politicians are asking questions. Rightly so.
The F-35 is setting new standards in that particular field. If I may add, so were LM in the 'optimism' field when they were 'predicting'.That's nothing new in defense procurement.My point is this: F-35 is late and over-budget.
Moving forward without regard for timeliness *or* cost-effectiveness, in this case.The only way to advance the industry is to keep moving forward.
I'll be careful not to make that mistake. Shall we go for transglobal range, all-aspect stealth, railgun, lasers, VTOL, ±16G manoeuvering limits and a Nespresso in the cockpit then?You can't build P-51s forever just because they're cheaper.
I take it you've met the gentlemen.I'd prefer they were politicians familiar with engineering, manufacturing, and war, not clueless lawyers looking for cheapshots for their latest soundbites
LowObservable said:The F-35B should be terminated immediately, because its added military value in any conceivable joint-force scenario will never justify its acquisition and O&S. It should have been cut back to tech demonstration in 2004.
That's one we'll just have to sit out.I predict once the F-35 has entered service and dispelled all the BS generated by certain individuals in the media the UK will find a reason to retire the Typhoon ASAP and go with an all F-35 force.
LowObservable said:Arjen - The decision to roll the Harrier replacement into JSF was taken because it was portrayed as a freebie in terms of costs, complexity and scar weight - a portrayal that was wildly optimistic.
Sferrin - Seriously, if the situation today is as you describe it, we're already stuffed. To suppress modern defenses, the B-2 force is too limited in sortie generation and target coverage, and the F-22 can only bomb on coordinates and is a long way (and lots of money) from being able to do much else. So by your reasoning we won't be in any shape for an air war until 2018.
This bad thinking is an inevitable consequence of buying into the 5thGenerationTM nonsense - driven, as I pointed out to GTX, by the aura of magic around stealth.
An F-22, an F-15SG/K, a JSF and a Gripen all provide different mixes of capability. Some are stealthy, some are not. Some are more versatile than others, and some better at BVR and close-range air combat than others.
Even the F-22's survivability concept is not like that of a B-2, or like that of an F-35 - and if you don't realize this, it's not a matter of not having the right clearances, it's because you are not paying attention. An F-35 is as like an F-22 as an A-7 was like an F-4.
Lumping them together as 5thGenerationTM is and was a marketing gimmick and attempt to give the impression that the F-35 was a sort of discount-priced F-22 - and as such helped kill off the F-22 and reduce numbers to the point where upgrades are likely to be unaffordable. Nice job FW - the only air-combat kill we may ever see from JSF!
And if the Harriers were the only aircraft available for Libya the operation would not have been launched. And while there may be a need for STOVL aboard the LHA/LHD, if the solution is not practical or affordable we need to rewrite the requirement, this time with sanity mode selected.
I'm not going to respond to any discussion of anyone's motives, and I would like to see your apology to other board users for that irrelevant comment.
Does that mean nobody should be allowed to have a negative opinion of the program? That doesn't sound very reasonable. The monster budget cuts have barely begun and ya'll have gone all "lord of the flies". What will you do when it gets really hairy?sferrin said:Thanks much! Last thing we need is this site to become another soapbox for certain individuals.
LowObservable said:GTX tried to shut the whole thing down with the "it's all classified, nobody has real information" nonsense
LowObservable said:This started with a reasonable question - what's the meaning of the "cancellation" language out of the Senate.
LowObservable said:However, just because I'm drawing some topline conclusions here does not mean that I don't have facts and data.
2011 PARIS AIR SHOW — I thought I’d share the breifing slides from Lockheed’s presentation yesterday on the progress of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program. It’s pretty standard stuff but it gives a good view of how much progress has been made –especially with the F-35B STOVL-model — sincelast year when the entire program seemed to be teetering on the brink of.…something. Among the interesting highlights shown is that the program is set to deliver 50 jets to the JSF schoolhouse at Eglin AFB in Florida by the end of next year. Deputy JSF program manager Maj. Gen. C.D. Moore said during the breifing that he’s hoping for very first production model F-35s to arrive at Eglin in a matter of days. Among the other intersting snippets of infor from these slides are pictures of Russsia’s Sukhoi PAK FA stealth fighter and what looks like and S-300 surface-to-air missile launcher under a caption that reads “Counters Current and Future Threats.” This may have been a subtle message to those who say the F-35 may not be a match for the new crop of stealth fighters being developed by countries like Russia, India and China. Or, maybe I’m reading too much into the slides.
GTX said:LowObservable said:This started with a reasonable question - what's the meaning of the "cancellation" language out of the Senate.
Actually, I cannot see that question raised anywhere - perhaps you can point it out?
bobbymike said:Senators Ask Panetta for Estimate To Terminate JSF
DefenseAlert, July 14, 2011 -- The two leading members of the Senate Armed Services Committee have formally requested an estimate of the cost of terminating the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program, according to a letter addressed to Defense Secretary Leon Panetta today.
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Triton said:This tempest was unleashed by the following article snippet posted by bobbymike from the Inside Defense Newstand web site:
LowObservable said:And if we are talking China, the F-35A/B are pretty much irrelevant and the C is tied to the carrier/ASBM question,
Abraham Gubler said:Only in the airpower Dungeons & Dragons practised by the likes of Air Power Australia does this not result in massive, crippling damage to Chinese military capability.
SOC said:1) relying on something not yet fielded (ship-borne PAC-3)
SOC said:2) assuming that you can base aircraft wherever you feel like it
SOC said:3) assuming that every base will be protected by ATBMs capable of intercepting 100% of inbound warheads (China has craploads of TBMs for a reason)
SOC said:4) assuming that a modern IADS with sensors capable of and designed to harass VLO platforms will be completely ineffective (as in something we've never even seen anything remotely like in combat before)
SOC said:5) assuming that the ASBM system will have an effectiveness of 0%
SOC said:and 6) assuming that the amount of US debt China holds will have absolutely no bearing on the US economy?
SOC said:And this all assumes that the only things moving about the battlespace are US CVBGs and F-35s, and Chinese TBMs.
LowObservable said:AG - The Navy/MDA take ASBM very seriously. One reason is that it may not be a purely ballistic threat since it needs some maneuver to engage a moving target. Another is that it is a weapon that can win the battle with one hit, and without even having to sink the carrier - simply damaging the deck enough to require shore repairs to continue operations.
LowObservable said:So the defense has to be very effective and robust against countermeasures, and score pretty much 100 per cent against, say, a 10-missile attack. And 10 ASBMs per deployed CSG is not that big of an investment for PLA, given their low life-cycle costs.
LowObservable said:The F-35A and F-35C have large internal fuel fraction, but are currently not funded for any external fuel, and even if that changes, 2 x 425 USG is not a lot in relation to their size. The B has an F-16/Typhoon-like internal fraction. So they are not going to have the legs of a Su-27/3X or an F-15E/SG/K, or a Rafale for that matter.