Our generation-long nuclear paralysis has disabled us. Our deterrent policy, nonproliferation policy and nuclear strategy are ineffective. Our nuclear arsenal is aged, untested and largely irrelevant. Our weapons research and development is non-existent. Our nuclear scientists, engineers, technicians and managers — inactive for their careers — are without test experience and seriously questionable.
------------------------------------------------------------------Immediately resume underground nuclear testing by the Energy and Defense Departments. The Energy Department should conduct research and development on advanced concepts, test the current stockpile, and design-test-produce new nuclear weapons. The Defense Department should resume weapons-effects testing.
• With round-the-clock effort, build a plutonium pit production facility with throughput of 80-100 pits annually.
• Re-nuclearize the Defense Department. It has been stripped, except for our strategic deterrent. America must be able to fight and win on any advanced nuclear battleground. Start by re-establishing the Defense Nuclear Agency to guide the services, agencies, commands and forces.
• Replace nuclear delivery systems, advance missile defense, and create effective defenses to electromagnetic pulse attack.
bobbymike said:Nuke modernization debate.
We've neglected the Triad and nuke enterprise for 25 years and that there are still those saying do less or slow down is mind boggling to me.
bobbymike said:http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-new-icbm-2017-story.html
Article does a decent job of outlining both sides arguments but I ask, read the "abolish the ICBM" side and ask is that the best they have as justification? It reads to me as "We really just want fewer nukes in the US so let's come up with some type of reason why."
Airplane said:Am I the only one who thinks $85B to replace the Minuteman is cheap? If they want donations I would gladly write a check. But I don't understand the thinking in eliminating the land based portion of the triad, because apparently it's risky to have them ready to launch at a moments notice. That risk has kept the world out of WWIII scenario for over 50 years. If 'they' want to eliminate the silo based missiles, great! Fantastic! I'm all for it! Give us 400 midgetmen type missiles dispersed throughout the nation and let's increase the SSBNs in service. But the reality is, there is a segment of the population that embraces weakness and will always argue against "nukes" in any form. $85B is cheap. The US pisses that much and more away every week.
Airplane said:Am I the only one who thinks $85B to replace the Minuteman is cheap? If they want donations I would gladly write a check. But I don't understand the thinking in eliminating the land based portion of the triad, because apparently it's risky to have them ready to launch at a moments notice.
Exactly correct when 60 minutes interviewed former SecDef Perry this appears to be his main argument and he points to a single incident 50 or so years ago of the fake training computer simulation tape that was thought to be an attack for about five minutes. He actually uses this single story as the rationale to get rid of the ICBM force.sferrin said:Airplane said:Am I the only one who thinks $85B to replace the Minuteman is cheap? If they want donations I would gladly write a check. But I don't understand the thinking in eliminating the land based portion of the triad, because apparently it's risky to have them ready to launch at a moments notice.
Yeah, that's got to be THE most retarded excuse I've ever seen when it comes to panty-wringing terror of defending one's self. That thousands of them have been in such a condition for half a century is apparently beyond their comprehension. (And never mind that even if WE didn't have them that won't magically make them disappear from the arsenals of Russia, China, India, North Korea, and soon to be Iran.)
bobbymike said:3) too expensive without providing perspective i.e. percentage of defence and/or percentage of federal spending.
sferrin said:bobbymike said:3) too expensive without providing perspective i.e. percentage of defence and/or percentage of federal spending.
And even that doesn't tell the tale. What would be the total dollar cost to just Seattle getting nuked, let alone L.A. or San Francisco? Nuclear forces are CHEAP by comparison. That they are promoting unilateral disarmament is despicable. Are they so dumb that they think it would work or do they believe that it would lead to the eventual end of the US and they are hoping for it?
Airplane said:sferrin said:bobbymike said:3) too expensive without providing perspective i.e. percentage of defence and/or percentage of federal spending.
And even that doesn't tell the tale. What would be the total dollar cost to just Seattle getting nuked, let alone L.A. or San Francisco? Nuclear forces are CHEAP by comparison. That they are promoting unilateral disarmament is despicable. Are they so dumb that they think it would work or do they believe that it would lead to the eventual end of the US and they are hoping for it?
Yes, exactly! How many hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars would be lost if LA or Seattle were nuked. In all honesty, the cost would be in the TRILLIONS of dollars after you factor in the economic depression that it would send the US into. The crash of 01 and 09 would be many times smaller that what would happen if a US city was nuked.
That's what pisses me off about people complaining about missile defense and the money we're spending on that. Look at the alternative....
Airplane said:sferrin said:bobbymike said:3) too expensive without providing perspective i.e. percentage of defence and/or percentage of federal spending.
And even that doesn't tell the tale. What would be the total dollar cost to just Seattle getting nuked, let alone L.A. or San Francisco? Nuclear forces are CHEAP by comparison. That they are promoting unilateral disarmament is despicable. Are they so dumb that they think it would work or do they believe that it would lead to the eventual end of the US and they are hoping for it?
Yes, exactly! How many hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars would be lost if LA or Seattle were nuked. In all honesty, the cost would be in the TRILLIONS of dollars after you factor in the economic depression that it would send the US into. The crash of 01 and 09 would be many times smaller that what would happen if a US city was nuked.
That's what pisses me off about people complaining about missile defense and the money we're spending on that. Look at the alternative....
China’s nuclear arsenal is estimated to contain just 264 warheads
bobbymike said:http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-big-china-nuclear-threat-no-one-talking-about-20983
China’s nuclear arsenal is estimated to contain just 264 warheads
Does anyone really believe this anymore?
bobbymike said:http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-big-china-nuclear-threat-no-one-talking-about-20983
China’s nuclear arsenal is estimated to contain just 264 warheads
Does anyone really believe this anymore?
Russia’s accelerated modernization rate is significant because it is exactly the opposite of what Russia should be doing if it intends to comply with the New START Treaty.
the 46 planned new Sarmat heavy ICBMs, will be deployed beginning in 2018 and will carry “no fewer than 15” nuclear warheads each.[11] This is obviously a ridiculous decision if Russia has any intent of complying with the New START Treaty because the Sarmat deployment would consume about half of the allowed warheads under New START
bobbymike said:https://www.forbes.com/sites/lorenthompson/2017/06/05/navys-d5-missile-most-powerful-u-s-weapon-to-provide-backbone-of-nuclear-deterrent-through-2040/#1c2fc20872e6
http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2017/06/05/the_npr_new_start_and_the_russian_nuclear_buildup__111520.html
Russia’s accelerated modernization rate is significant because it is exactly the opposite of what Russia should be doing if it intends to comply with the New START Treaty.
the 46 planned new Sarmat heavy ICBMs, will be deployed beginning in 2018 and will carry “no fewer than 15” nuclear warheads each.[11] This is obviously a ridiculous decision if Russia has any intent of complying with the New START Treaty because the Sarmat deployment would consume about half of the allowed warheads under New START
I've been saying this for years the types of strategic weapons Russia is producing does not match up to New START limits.
While we dither and dither and wither away.
stew3 said:bobbymike said:https://www.forbes.com/sites/lorenthompson/2017/06/05/navys-d5-missile-most-powerful-u-s-weapon-to-provide-backbone-of-nuclear-deterrent-through-2040/#1c2fc20872e6
http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2017/06/05/the_npr_new_start_and_the_russian_nuclear_buildup__111520.html
Russia’s accelerated modernization rate is significant because it is exactly the opposite of what Russia should be doing if it intends to comply with the New START Treaty.
the 46 planned new Sarmat heavy ICBMs, will be deployed beginning in 2018 and will carry “no fewer than 15” nuclear warheads each.[11] This is obviously a ridiculous decision if Russia has any intent of complying with the New START Treaty because the Sarmat deployment would consume about half of the allowed warheads under New START
I've been saying this for years the types of strategic weapons Russia is producing does not match up to New START limits.
While we dither and dither and wither away.
What concerns me is that we are totally complacent in regard to our nuclear deterrent. We have programs to replace all three legs of the triad, but always ending up with fewer numbers of warheads deliverable, assuming none of the three legs get cut off or cut back. New cruise missile, new ICBM and adquate replacement numbers of SSBNs are being threatened with cutbacks before the first metal is bent. And these programs are looking like they are numerically just replacement weapons at present or lower numbers... like 12 new SSBNs with 16 Trident 2s replacing 14 Ohio class with 24 missiles each (downloaded to 20 soon).
The Russians are not stupid. They see this as their chance to acquire through bad treaty and withdrawal from it, the end goal of nuclear superiority. I suspect if they don't just keep lying about cheating they will withdraw from New Start sometime in August.
bobbymike said:http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2017/06/08/trumps_nuclear_posture_in_europe_111547.html
bobbymike said:http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2017/06/12/the_tlam-n_a_counterproductive_anachronism_for_europe_111568.html?utm_source=RC+Defense+Morning+Recon&utm_campaign=ad82625c7e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_06_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_694f73a8dc-ad82625c7e-81812733