The 3 contenders would probably be:Sounds like what Ireland needs is some Mk1 Eurofighters. Should be quite a few available for cheap. Tornado ADVs would be perfect, but are any even available? Refurbed F-5Es? FCK-1s?
The issues with any “temporary solution” are a) the minute their operational rates start declining due to any age related issues our opposition and Tankie twats are going to scream bloody murder and use it to hammer defence spending, and perhaps more importantly b) they aren't likely to be Temporary. IF/When any fighter capability is ever bought then they are going to be a once in a generation spend, see for example pretty much every other Irish defence procurement.The 3 contenders would probably be:
1) Typhoon Tranche 1
2) Gripen C
3) Mirage 2000C (from French or Greek storage - would have to integrate Mica IR or some other basic IR-homing missile capability)
Probably in that order of capability & cost, with Mirage 2000s probably not being viable beyond 2030-2035 so only a temporary solution while waiting for something else (used Rafales?).
Not sure how I missed this earlier, but I really do like this idea. Half a dozen or so KC-390s would be excellent. Maybe a dozen, depends on how much flying we're expecting them to do as MPAs. A dozen airframes would allow for spreading the flying hours out better.As for tanker, yeah, it's a stretch, but if they do decide to adopt KC-390 as a transport, turning a couple into flex tankers is really quite simple. Just underwing hose reel pods, one crew station in the cockpit, a couple of cameras, and a roll-on tank or two in the cargo bay. The same aircraft could even be re-rolled for offshore SAR with a EO/FLIR pod under the fuselage and life rafts on a pallet at the rear ramp. Same third crew station can be used for the EO/IR operator instead of AAR.
It is. But note starviking's objection to my single-engined suggestions for planes:Super hornet is a lot of plane. It is literally twice the Gripen E, for worse intercept performance (slower) without range gain.
It's also optimized for anything but intercept performance, in this sense being worse than legacy hornet.
Look at intercept profiles. Ireland isn't reall fighting for air superiority over fish. We're not taking 3 big tanks.
I.e. as interceptor, JAS-39E reaches longer ranges from standby on ground, faster.
However, any IAC interceptors are going to operating a significant amount of their time out in the North Atlantic. it can be a tough place to lose your only engine.
What defence procurement has ever needed a stand alone Dáil vote? The Minister of the day gets Cabinet approval and the procurement process happens. There isn’t going to be a vote on the radar systems when they are picked for example.Honest Injun? Hot air that will run and run like a panto on repeat.
Will anything happen considering it will require a vote in the Dáil Éireann?
My reasoning is the rather large increase in defence budget OR reducing spend elsewhere in public finances. Probably both.What defence procurement has ever needed a stand alone Dáil vote? The Minister of the day gets Cabinet approval and the procurement process happens. There isn’t going to be a vote on the radar systems when they are picked for example.
The defence budget is set in the overall budget, there’s never a point where there is a one off vote on the matter, take for example the move to LoA2, that’s effectively doubling the 2022 budget by 2028 (supposedly) and there was never any vote on that. If the government pushes onwards to LoA3 there won’t be a vote on that either.My reasoning is the rather large increase in defence budget OR reducing spend elsewhere in public finances. Probably both.
AIDC F-CK-1... Why hasn't Taiwan tried to export them? It's the prefect plane for a small country wanting a cheap/simple supersonic twin.Which is why I was suggesting the M346 that you crapped on for being barely supersonic. The next step up for an actually supersonic twin engine plane is a Super Bug or Rafale. Which yes, IS a lot of airplane.
Aren't those out of production?AIDC F-CK-1... Why hasn't Taiwan tried to export them? It's the prefect plane for a small country wanting a cheap/simple supersonic twin.
Because most nations are reluctant to buy Taiwanese military hardware - both due to unclear status of such deals (buying weapon from the nation that you don't even recognize) and fear of Chinese repercussions. Also, intense US technology transfer to Taiwan complicate things by requiring to get US permission for their tech export. Of course it doens't means that such deals are impossible. Just annoyingly complicated.AIDC F-CK-1... Why hasn't Taiwan tried to export them? It's the prefect plane for a small country wanting a cheap/simple supersonic twin.
What about Korean FA-50 (a combat version of supersonic T-50 trainer)? They already were brought by Poland, so they already have a presence on European weapon market. Reasonably cheap, reasonably capable; could reach Mach 1.5 and could be equipped with several types of radars.
Apparently to have SOME control over the national airspace without being forced to call other nations for help. Essentially to:As I understand it, the Irish military currently has zero air defence/intercept capability. It seems to me that there are sustainable, lower-cost solutions that will work depending on the mission. So what exactly is the mission?
The F-CK-1 is but the trainer AIDC T-5 version is mid-production and reportedly half as expensive as a T-50.Aren't those out of production?
If they're still in production that's a theoretical option.
No wonder, T-5 is less than half as capable; no radar (yet), transsonic speed only.The F-CK-1 is but the trainer AIDC T-5 version is mid-production and reportedly half as expensive as a T-50.
I believe that the primary thing they are looking for is called "Air Policing", the ability to intercept someone wandering into Irish airspace. Some 90% of the time, this is a very lost civilian plane, who is very happy to find someone to guide him to a landing place. Some 90% of the remaining times, this is a Russian plane annoying people, that needs a fighter escort to make sure they don't do something stupid. And about 90% of the remaining times of this, it's someone squawking the wrong transponder codes for some stupid reason. The final ~0.1% of all interceptions or less, it's someone squawking the wrong transponder codes because bad men are on their airplane and want to crash the plane into an important building.As I understand it, the Irish military currently has zero air defence/intercept capability. It seems to me that there are sustainable, lower-cost solutions that will work depending on the mission. So what exactly is the mission?
Combined response:The F-CK-1 is but the trainer AIDC T-5 version is mid-production and reportedly half as expensive as a T-50.
Ah, that may take it out of contention entirely. Mostly the lack of radar, as long as it can hit M1.2 or more.No wonder, T-5 is less than half as capable; no radar (yet), transsonic speed only.
Oh, hey, put me down in favor of the Finn Hornets, assuming that they still have a thousand hours or more remaining.there is still the option on secondhand F-16AM/BM's, they are quickly becoming available in larger number (those that arent going to Ukraine). although not new, they can be used as a stopgap sollution until more capable and modern aircraft can be delivered.
other options could be ex-Swiss or Finish F-18C/D as these are to be replaced by F-35A's, these are relativly newer then the older F-16MLU's (finish aircraft dating from the mid-to-late 90's) and could become available soon. that's also the case for ex-Greek Mirage 2000-5's.
there is still the option on secondhand F-16AM/BM's, they are quickly becoming available in larger number (those that arent going to Ukraine). although not new, they can be used as a stopgap sollution until more capable and modern aircraft can be delivered.
other options could be ex-Swiss or Finish F-18C/D as these are to be replaced by F-35A's, these are relativly newer then the older F-16MLU's (finish aircraft dating from the mid-to-late 90's) and could become available soon. that's also the case for ex-Greek Mirage 2000-5's.
KAI FA-50(maybe future F-50), i guess.It sounds to me like this is a case of wanting to go too far, too fast. I can't think of any twin-engine, supersonic, radar-equipped interceptors that are even remotely simple or affordable. Maybe some twin-engine patrol aircraft with sea, land, and possibly air radar would make more sense to start?
Could they get a life extension for reasonable money?Oh, hey, put me down in favor of the Finn Hornets, assuming that they still have a thousand hours or more remaining.
"Life extension" and "reasonable money" rarely mix well past certain point.Could they get a life extension for reasonable money?
I was talking about "Reasonable" as in for the resut. Not cheap. If the options are wieghed against each other, could the life extension route be reasonably costed compare to other aircraft option abilities?"Life extension" and "reasonable money" rarely mix well past certain point.
The one area you are missing out is air control for international events, ie Heads of State visits, or when Ireland holds the EU presidency and you’ve heads of the other 26 governments at summits, hence one of the reasons for the current radar and MANPAD systems. Traditionally either the USAF for American presidents or the RAF handle that tasking currently.I believe that the primary thing they are looking for is called "Air Policing", the ability to intercept someone wandering into Irish airspace. Some 90% of the time, this is a very lost civilian plane, who is very happy to find someone to guide him to a landing place. Some 90% of the remaining times, this is a Russian plane annoying people, that needs a fighter escort to make sure they don't do something stupid. And about 90% of the remaining times of this, it's someone squawking the wrong transponder codes for some stupid reason. The final ~0.1% of all interceptions or less, it's someone squawking the wrong transponder codes because bad men are on their airplane and want to crash the plane into an important building.
Which means a supersonic fighter, with a radar because you're going to have these interceptions at night and in bad weather, and because most of your interceptions are going to be big aircraft, airliners or bombers, you need BVRAAMs for warhead size.
Plus we have a strong vote for twin engines because operating alone or in pairs over the North Atlantic is a terrible place to lose your only engine.
Combined response:
Ah, that may take it out of contention entirely. Mostly the lack of radar, as long as it can hit M1.2 or more.
While we are NATO adjacent, it’s important to note the only formal agreement/understanding Ireland has is with the U.K., but what the actual terms and conditions of that is anyone’s guess as successive Irish governments have denied its existence for decades and are currently before the courts over it. However that still leaves a couple of issues, firstly god forbid a worse case situation of an RAF engagement leaves whatever Irish government of the day with “problems”, and secondly what made sense for the U.K. from the 60s may not really suit London today given the decline in RAF numbers, ie there’s few enough P8s or Typhoons.I think a capable transonic solution like the M-346 which has two engines, Mach 0.95 speed, capable radar, Sidewinders, and a gun pod would be the most logical 80% solution with a call to friends at NATO if anything high speed needs to be intercepted. BAE Hawk 200, which has intercept radar, could also do the job and cost less but with only one engine.
And which nation do you think is going to just volunteer for such a deployment to a non NATO nation? Who has spare strength to do so and interest in such, particularly for a nation whose main issue is not being arsed on defence spending since 1998? And that's not even touching the domestic fallout.Here's an idea...why not host a NATO fighter squadron from another country at a base on Irish soil? The basing agreement would include the obligation to respond to intrusions into Irish airspace based on X parameters. Less patriotic but perhaps a much cheaper and more sustainable way to get the job done.
It is a very big step up, but that's what the mission requires around Ireland.It sounds to me like this is a case of wanting to go too far, too fast. I can't think of any twin-engine, supersonic, radar-equipped interceptors that are even remotely simple or affordable. Maybe some twin-engine patrol aircraft with sea, land, and possibly air radar would make more sense to start?
I can understand the need for supersonic and high climb rate to chase down an airliner or Russian snooper.It is a very big step up, but that's what the mission requires around Ireland.
Oh, crud, did not even consider that problem!The one area you are missing out is air control for international events, ie Heads of State visits, or when Ireland holds the EU presidency and you’ve heads of the other 26 governments at summits, hence one of the reasons for the current radar and MANPAD systems. Traditionally either the USAF for American presidents or the RAF handle that tasking currently.
Replacing PC9s with M346s would be a semi-viable option, though I still think you'd want actual fighters with BRAAMs for the job.Keep in mind at things stand currently this is still something that may happen in LoA3 post 2028 when the budgets may be between 3-5 billion for defence, so the costs the department floated of 100 million a year would actually be viable and reasonable.
All that being said of course there is a newish wrinkle potentially. Rumours are that the Departments have for once agreed that a Replacement date will actually happen, ie that the PC9 replacement will start this year, and that opens up more questions.
Probably because losing a single engined plane that is 1/12 of your entire Air Force is likely to result in Questions Being Asked In Parliament (or rather, the Irish equivalent) and your further career ending at that moment.But why twin engines? After all, there are hundreds of single engine F-35s and F-16s operating over water every day. If single engine is good enough for the USN, USMC, RN, RCAF, RNoAF, RAAF etc, why shouldn’t it be good enough for Irish air policing?