CSBA "Third Offset" paper
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http://breakingdefense.com/2016/02/faster-than-thought-darpa-artificial-intelligence-the-third-offset-strategy/?__hstc=174454333.3bb0ed7fe348f4984ddd4b8a2330034c.1454994938998.1455089493379.1455199589053.4&__hssc=174454333.2.1455199589053&__hsfp=4094095347
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http://breakingdefense.com/2016/02/army-explores-anti-ship-howitzers-anti-aircraft-strykers/?utm_campaign=Breaking+Defense+Daily+Digest&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=26188987&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-9A6KnD184nApY5Htyq_P9ZAvegvuSU3n-tC2Q3W365Jto7402fk8UiQGmnphu4XOzoRKtuS1JHkMA8kkRfuGFxGpnlTg&_hsmi=26188987
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-exotic-new-weapons-the-pentagon-wants-to-deter-russia-and-china/2016/02/23/b2621602-da7a-11e5-925f-1d10062cc82d_story.html
http://www.acq.osd.mil/dsb/reports/2014_DSB_Strategic_Surprise.pdf
http://www.acq.osd.mil/dsb/reports/2014_DSB_Strategic_Surprise.pdf
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Air Combat Command is looking at unmanned “escort” platforms as well as the “arsenal plane” concept and smaller, more effective munitions to put more firepower in the hands of fifth generation pilots operating deep behind enemy lines, Air Combat Command chief Gen. Hawk Carlisle said at AWS16. Talking with reporters, Carlisle acknowledged that it makes little sense for F-22s, F-35s, and Long-Range Strike Bombers to penetrate heavily-defended airspace, quickly expend a limited load of weapons, then escape to re-arm and return to the fight. He said ACC is looking at an unmanned “bomb truck or a missile truck” that would potentially also penetrate enemy defenses to make use of the 5th gen aircraft’s sensors for targeting. “Let’s say we had something stealthy that was unmanned, that carried 16 missiles and was semi-autonomous, but it penetrated … with the Raptor” and used the Raptor’s sensors “through a combat cloud” to deliver the weapons. The Raptor pilot would first use up the escort’s missiles and could then stay “in the battlespace.” ACC is working with the Air Force Research Laboratory, “the national labs, Lawrence Livermore, (and) MIT Lincoln Labs,” looking at such “manned/unmanned pairing” concepts, Carlisle said. Another approach to increasing firepower would be to miniaturize weapons so that twice as many could be carried, but with “longer range and greater kill capacity.” Today’s AMRAAM, he said, has a probability of kill that requires pilots to shoot two at a time to ensure victory “so that, by definition, cuts your payload in half.”
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DOD wants 'Alternative Strike' airborne as soon as 2018
February 25, 2016
Where is the "Arsenal Plane"? The Defense Department won't say. But the secretive Strategic Capabilities Office has kicked off a program called "Alternative Strike" that sounds strikingly similar, would have a "launch platform" ready for testing as soon as 2018, and is seeking a $200 million down payment in the fiscal year 2017 budget request.
The budget proposal seeks $198 million in advanced component development and prototypes funding for an "Alternative Strike" effort and plans to commence long-lead acquisition next year and conduct demonstrations between 2018 and 2020.
The project description make no explicit reference to an "Arsenal Plane." However, the "Alternative Strike" project is the only item in the Strategic Capabilities Office's budget request that comes close to matching Defense Secretary Ash Carter's description of the Arsenal Plane. On Feb. 2, Carter said the project "takes one of our oldest aircraft platform and turns it into a flying launchpad for all sorts of different conventional payloads."
During a speech in which Carter revealed unprecedented detail about the work of the Strategic Capabilities Office, he said "the arsenal plane will function as a very large airborne magazine, networked to fifth generation aircraft that act as forward sensor and targeting nodes, essentially combining different systems already in our inventory to create whole new capabilities."
Is "Alternative Strike" in fact the Arsenal Plane? The Pentagon won't clarify the issue.
"Due to security considerations we will not be disclosing any additional information at this time regarding Alternative Strike," Pentagon spokesman Maj. Adrian J.T. Rankine-Galloway said in an email statement.
The SCO, a shop established in 2012 to fast-track development of promising, cutting-edge concepts and technologies to give U.S. forces new advantages against great powers, describes "Alternative Strike" as a demonstration that "integrates existing weapons, launch platforms, and command and control structures in novel ways to quickly provide the combatant commanders with critical multimission capabilities."
"This project will demonstrate the feasibility and utility of launching existing/modified weapons from existing launch platforms," according to the budget request. "This project will retire risks associated with cross platform integration to enable transition of new weapon/system combinations to service partners. System design and long-lead acquisition will be initiated in FY 2017, leading to subsequent demonstrations in FY 2018 through FY 2020."
In preparation, the FY-17 budget reveals for the first time that the SCO is spending $6 million in FY-16 to "perform preliminary weapon/launch platform integration studies." These studies include the preliminary design of required weapons/platform modifications as well as developing interfaces to permit such integration. The studies will develop and assess concepts of operation as well as finalize plans for a four-year development and demonstration beginning in FY-17.
In FY-17, the "Alternative Strike" program would complete a preliminary design review for platform integration and "down select from multiple prototype designs."
The project would also use aerodynamic modeling and simulation of weapon release; conduct detailed design of necessary launch platform modifications; and conduct detailed design of weapon modifications for new missions, according to the budget request.
In addition, the project would set a plan to test the prototype aircraft between 2018 and 2020 as well as complete a critical design review of the entire "weapon/platform/communication" design, according to the budget. -- Jason Sherman
February 25, 2016
Where is the "Arsenal Plane"? The Defense Department won't say. But the secretive Strategic Capabilities Office has kicked off a program called "Alternative Strike" that sounds strikingly similar, would have a "launch platform" ready for testing as soon as 2018, and is seeking a $200 million down payment in the fiscal year 2017 budget request.
The budget proposal seeks $198 million in advanced component development and prototypes funding for an "Alternative Strike" effort and plans to commence long-lead acquisition next year and conduct demonstrations between 2018 and 2020.
The project description make no explicit reference to an "Arsenal Plane." However, the "Alternative Strike" project is the only item in the Strategic Capabilities Office's budget request that comes close to matching Defense Secretary Ash Carter's description of the Arsenal Plane. On Feb. 2, Carter said the project "takes one of our oldest aircraft platform and turns it into a flying launchpad for all sorts of different conventional payloads."
During a speech in which Carter revealed unprecedented detail about the work of the Strategic Capabilities Office, he said "the arsenal plane will function as a very large airborne magazine, networked to fifth generation aircraft that act as forward sensor and targeting nodes, essentially combining different systems already in our inventory to create whole new capabilities."
Is "Alternative Strike" in fact the Arsenal Plane? The Pentagon won't clarify the issue.
"Due to security considerations we will not be disclosing any additional information at this time regarding Alternative Strike," Pentagon spokesman Maj. Adrian J.T. Rankine-Galloway said in an email statement.
The SCO, a shop established in 2012 to fast-track development of promising, cutting-edge concepts and technologies to give U.S. forces new advantages against great powers, describes "Alternative Strike" as a demonstration that "integrates existing weapons, launch platforms, and command and control structures in novel ways to quickly provide the combatant commanders with critical multimission capabilities."
"This project will demonstrate the feasibility and utility of launching existing/modified weapons from existing launch platforms," according to the budget request. "This project will retire risks associated with cross platform integration to enable transition of new weapon/system combinations to service partners. System design and long-lead acquisition will be initiated in FY 2017, leading to subsequent demonstrations in FY 2018 through FY 2020."
In preparation, the FY-17 budget reveals for the first time that the SCO is spending $6 million in FY-16 to "perform preliminary weapon/launch platform integration studies." These studies include the preliminary design of required weapons/platform modifications as well as developing interfaces to permit such integration. The studies will develop and assess concepts of operation as well as finalize plans for a four-year development and demonstration beginning in FY-17.
In FY-17, the "Alternative Strike" program would complete a preliminary design review for platform integration and "down select from multiple prototype designs."
The project would also use aerodynamic modeling and simulation of weapon release; conduct detailed design of necessary launch platform modifications; and conduct detailed design of weapon modifications for new missions, according to the budget request.
In addition, the project would set a plan to test the prototype aircraft between 2018 and 2020 as well as complete a critical design review of the entire "weapon/platform/communication" design, according to the budget. -- Jason Sherman
In this video, 3rd offset (at least for the Air Force) translates to a potpourri of high tech in software, robotics, and networking. There is an ancient Arthur C. Clarke short story about an advanced planet fighting a war against an inferior rival that relied on numbers. It was hard not to think it was an allegory for the US. Didn't turn out well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pY7qQ5rldY8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pY7qQ5rldY8
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fredymac said:
Indeed. A classic you could say.
In other news:
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/usaf-flaunts-arsenal-plane-concept-at-air-warfare-422472/
Sentinel36k
Nothing to fear but a high radar cross section
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The paper referenced at the end of the video
http://www.af.mil/Portals/1/images/airpower/AFFOC.pdf
Sentinel
http://www.af.mil/Portals/1/images/airpower/AFFOC.pdf
Sentinel
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bobbymike said:
On that note:
Raytheon to Offer New Long-Range Missile for U.S. Army Fires Requirement
"What do you do with an old missile? Replace it with one that's faster, stronger, cheaper to deploy and much more accurate.
Better yet: Replace it with two.
Raytheon is developing a long-range missile that will allow the Army to field twice as many missiles on its existing launch vehicles. Thin and sleek, it will fire two missiles from a single weapons pod, slashing the cost. The new missile also flies further, packs more punch and has a better guidance system than the current weapon.
“We're looking to replace a design originally from the 1980s," said Greg Haynes, a Raytheon manager leading the company’s campaign for a new long-range weapon. “Missile technology has come a long way.”
The ability to fit two Long-Range Precision Fires missiles in an existing launcher is a significant leap over existing tactical missiles.
“Since most of these were produced in the late '90s, you run into what we call ‘end of shelf life,’ where the motors and such are no longer reliable,” said former Army colonel John Weinzettle, now a program manager in Raytheon’s Advanced Missile Systems business.
An upgrade becomes even more urgent considering how quickly threats are evolving around the world. “Adversaries are already equipped with long-range weapons that could inflict substantial damage at distances beyond the Army’s striking power,” Weinzettle said.
Raytheon’s new long-range weapon will engage targets at approximately 500 kilometers. LRPF is primarily meant to attack fixed ground locations, like helicopter staging areas or hardened bunkers."
http://www.raytheon.com/news/feature/long-range_precision_fires.html
Problem is the US Army is NEVER going to get within 300 miles of a near-peer to use this. Scale it up to two stages and throw three or four of them on the back of an Oshkosh 10-wheel. Hopefully they'll keep ATACMs around for the bigger punch.
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Modify these for the airborne "Arsenal Plane" concept.sferrin said:
Sounding like a broken record it is time to renegotiate the INF Treaty for conventional missiles. China has several hundred covering the entire China Sea and beyond it's a huge asymmetrical advantage IMHO.
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CALLING ALL SPF MEMBERS!! Short story and art contest Envisioning the Third Offset
http://artoffuturewarfare.org/featured-challenge/?utm_content=buffer91a02&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
http://artoffuturewarfare.org/featured-challenge/?utm_content=buffer91a02&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
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bobbymike said:
Deadline April 18th. Upon further consideration it looks like they're just looking for cheap artwork. $500 for a flood of work? Sure, somebody will win a prize but the losers will be popping up on websites for years (uncompensated).
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DOD revealing disruptive capabilities in signal to Russia, China, U.S. allies
March 30, 2016
The Pentagon is revealing a sample of new
disruptive combat capabilities -- all derived since 2012 from utilizing
existing weapon systems in innovative ways -- as part of a campaign to bolster
conventional deterrence by signaling Russia and China, as well as American
allies, that the U.S. military has a growing "strategic surprise" portfolio of
never-before-seen means to strike and defend.
One aim of the effort -- which involves revealing
formerly classified projects led by the Strategic Capabilities Office in
concert with Army, Navy and Air Force weapon systems program offices -- is to
change the calculus of potential American adversaries who might, after observing
U.S. military operations over the last two decades, conclude they've figured a
way to beat the United States.
"We're starting to share a few of these projects
publicly so that we can show the world that we can change quickly and we can do
things differently and regaining advantage does not have to be a 14-year
technology development cycle," Will Roper, Strategic Capabilities Office
director, said in a March 28 interview with reporters, referring to a time
frame often allocated to design and field a new weapon. "So we'd like a taste
of this to be outside, but certainly not our best capabilities."
Founded in August 2012 by then-Deputy Defense
Secretary Ash Carter, the SCO has worked on between 15 to 18 projects -- "five
or six a year," according to Roper -- with roughly one-third of these already
transitioned to programs of record, which means the sponsoring service has
formally adopted the project and funded it going forward.
The revealed SCO projects include giving the
Navy's Standard Missile-6 -- originally designed for defense -- an offensive
capability; a missile defense-variant of a high-velocity munition fired from
artillery-size tubes paired with ground variant of fighter aircraft radar; a
version of the Navy's MK-48 torpedo with improved propulsion; an "Arsenal
Plane" that could ferry huge weapons payloads to standoff ranges and work with
F-35 and F-22 aircraft for strike assignments; swarming micro-unmanned aerial
vehicles dropped from fighter aircraft for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
missions; and augmenting the targeting capability of precision munitions with
commercially available, phone-camera technology.
The shop, six government employees supported by 20
contractors, has three approaches to crafting new capabilities, according to
Roper: repurposing existing weapon systems; linking existing weapon systems
together to create new effects; and finding novel approaches to integrate
commercial technology into existing weapons to produce significant combat
improvement.
Roper likens SCO's mission to taking the playbook
of a dynastic football or basketball team and fashioning new trick plays in
order to undermine an opponent's confidence in the ability to correctly read --
based on watching past game films -- what the championship team is going to do.
"We've found that most of the systems we have
today can be changed -- we can do new things," Roper said. "A lot of the things
we're keeping protected, we're keeping classified because the primary goal is
to have trick plays behind the door that we can use to win a conflict if we
need to by taking back the element of surprise."
Why has the Defense Department never had an
organization with such a mission before?
"The reason there hasn't been a SCO heretofore, in
my opinion, is that this scenario we're in, where a sole superpower has been
running the same playbook with the world watching has really never existed
before," Roper said. "So we've never had to have a group of people trying to
architect a new playbook out of stuff we had."
Another aim of going public is a hope to benefit
from a wider array of potential project ideas. Last September the SCO hosted
its first industry day and plans soon to publish a solicitation formally
inviting project proposals.
"We're looking at near-term systems," Roper said
of the message for industry in the forthcoming broad area announcement. "We're
looking for unusual applications. We're looking for things we can put our hands
on today, that we can test today to meet a strategic aspect of a capability.
Does it create doubt, does it impose cost?"
The SCO works closely with combatant commanders
and service chiefs to identify high-priority needs, Roper said. U.S. Pacific
and European commands both have resident SCO offices that link the Washington
team to the needs of leaders in these regions. While the SCO is effectively fed
requirements from the field, Roper said the SCO pitches project ideas to
service chiefs annually during "special topics" meetings. It was during such a
meeting last year with the Air Force that the Arsenal Plane concept was
launched, Roper said.
Around January each year, the SCO identifies what
it believes are the five or six best ideas and develops them as new budget
proposals that are submitted -- like other Pentagon projects -- for review by
the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the cost assessment and program
evaluation office. Unlike most Defense Department projects with a dedicated
budget line for prototyping, the SCO's annual spending request does not include
placeholder amounts for future projects.
"A very unusual aspect of SCO is there is no
out-year funding for us," Roper said. "We are only funded by getting new
projects through that fall [budget review] cycle. That means if we quit
producing new projects, we'll eventually evaporate and go away. That creates a
healthy sense of urgency in maintaining the creative juices in the office."
Each SCO project takes between three to four years
to execute, so the SCO budget accounts for such funding tails in the Pentagon's
future years defense plan.
"Every program that we put in is an operational
prototype that results in a set of risks we reduce, that we agree on with a
service partner," he said. "We rarely will take anything beyond four years.
Three to four years; we really like two-year development. That's our target
spot. What's supposed to happen is that at the end, we've built a full-up
system, done an end-to-end test in an operational environment; and we can use
that to estimate the cost and training impacts."
The SCO's prototyping budget has grown from $130
million in FY-14 to $170 million in FY-15, and $469 million in FY-16. The
office is currently seeking $844 million for prototyping in FY-17
March 30, 2016
The Pentagon is revealing a sample of new
disruptive combat capabilities -- all derived since 2012 from utilizing
existing weapon systems in innovative ways -- as part of a campaign to bolster
conventional deterrence by signaling Russia and China, as well as American
allies, that the U.S. military has a growing "strategic surprise" portfolio of
never-before-seen means to strike and defend.
One aim of the effort -- which involves revealing
formerly classified projects led by the Strategic Capabilities Office in
concert with Army, Navy and Air Force weapon systems program offices -- is to
change the calculus of potential American adversaries who might, after observing
U.S. military operations over the last two decades, conclude they've figured a
way to beat the United States.
"We're starting to share a few of these projects
publicly so that we can show the world that we can change quickly and we can do
things differently and regaining advantage does not have to be a 14-year
technology development cycle," Will Roper, Strategic Capabilities Office
director, said in a March 28 interview with reporters, referring to a time
frame often allocated to design and field a new weapon. "So we'd like a taste
of this to be outside, but certainly not our best capabilities."
Founded in August 2012 by then-Deputy Defense
Secretary Ash Carter, the SCO has worked on between 15 to 18 projects -- "five
or six a year," according to Roper -- with roughly one-third of these already
transitioned to programs of record, which means the sponsoring service has
formally adopted the project and funded it going forward.
The revealed SCO projects include giving the
Navy's Standard Missile-6 -- originally designed for defense -- an offensive
capability; a missile defense-variant of a high-velocity munition fired from
artillery-size tubes paired with ground variant of fighter aircraft radar; a
version of the Navy's MK-48 torpedo with improved propulsion; an "Arsenal
Plane" that could ferry huge weapons payloads to standoff ranges and work with
F-35 and F-22 aircraft for strike assignments; swarming micro-unmanned aerial
vehicles dropped from fighter aircraft for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
missions; and augmenting the targeting capability of precision munitions with
commercially available, phone-camera technology.
The shop, six government employees supported by 20
contractors, has three approaches to crafting new capabilities, according to
Roper: repurposing existing weapon systems; linking existing weapon systems
together to create new effects; and finding novel approaches to integrate
commercial technology into existing weapons to produce significant combat
improvement.
Roper likens SCO's mission to taking the playbook
of a dynastic football or basketball team and fashioning new trick plays in
order to undermine an opponent's confidence in the ability to correctly read --
based on watching past game films -- what the championship team is going to do.
"We've found that most of the systems we have
today can be changed -- we can do new things," Roper said. "A lot of the things
we're keeping protected, we're keeping classified because the primary goal is
to have trick plays behind the door that we can use to win a conflict if we
need to by taking back the element of surprise."
Why has the Defense Department never had an
organization with such a mission before?
"The reason there hasn't been a SCO heretofore, in
my opinion, is that this scenario we're in, where a sole superpower has been
running the same playbook with the world watching has really never existed
before," Roper said. "So we've never had to have a group of people trying to
architect a new playbook out of stuff we had."
Another aim of going public is a hope to benefit
from a wider array of potential project ideas. Last September the SCO hosted
its first industry day and plans soon to publish a solicitation formally
inviting project proposals.
"We're looking at near-term systems," Roper said
of the message for industry in the forthcoming broad area announcement. "We're
looking for unusual applications. We're looking for things we can put our hands
on today, that we can test today to meet a strategic aspect of a capability.
Does it create doubt, does it impose cost?"
The SCO works closely with combatant commanders
and service chiefs to identify high-priority needs, Roper said. U.S. Pacific
and European commands both have resident SCO offices that link the Washington
team to the needs of leaders in these regions. While the SCO is effectively fed
requirements from the field, Roper said the SCO pitches project ideas to
service chiefs annually during "special topics" meetings. It was during such a
meeting last year with the Air Force that the Arsenal Plane concept was
launched, Roper said.
Around January each year, the SCO identifies what
it believes are the five or six best ideas and develops them as new budget
proposals that are submitted -- like other Pentagon projects -- for review by
the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the cost assessment and program
evaluation office. Unlike most Defense Department projects with a dedicated
budget line for prototyping, the SCO's annual spending request does not include
placeholder amounts for future projects.
"A very unusual aspect of SCO is there is no
out-year funding for us," Roper said. "We are only funded by getting new
projects through that fall [budget review] cycle. That means if we quit
producing new projects, we'll eventually evaporate and go away. That creates a
healthy sense of urgency in maintaining the creative juices in the office."
Each SCO project takes between three to four years
to execute, so the SCO budget accounts for such funding tails in the Pentagon's
future years defense plan.
"Every program that we put in is an operational
prototype that results in a set of risks we reduce, that we agree on with a
service partner," he said. "We rarely will take anything beyond four years.
Three to four years; we really like two-year development. That's our target
spot. What's supposed to happen is that at the end, we've built a full-up
system, done an end-to-end test in an operational environment; and we can use
that to estimate the cost and training impacts."
The SCO's prototyping budget has grown from $130
million in FY-14 to $170 million in FY-15, and $469 million in FY-16. The
office is currently seeking $844 million for prototyping in FY-17
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The bluffing is getting increasingly desperate.
bring_it_on
I really should change my personal text
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Strategy and Implementation of the Department of Defense's Technology Offsets Initiative[
Testifying : Arati Prabhakar (DARPA) and Stephen Welby (Assistant Secretary Of Defense For Research And Engineering)
http://www.armed-services.senate.gov/hearings/16-04-12-strategy-and-implementation-of-the-department-of-defenses-technology-offsets-initiative
Testifying : Arati Prabhakar (DARPA) and Stephen Welby (Assistant Secretary Of Defense For Research And Engineering)
http://www.armed-services.senate.gov/hearings/16-04-12-strategy-and-implementation-of-the-department-of-defenses-technology-offsets-initiative
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