- Joined
- 30 May 2023
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F-15EX isn't a magic bullet, it is a marginal improvement over the F-15E fleet and it is pretty clear the USAF see it as that despite the marketing bluster from hacks like Axe. HACM is F-15E capable and will eventually make its way to the F-35 which is more than capable of lugging to HACMs externally should a cruise missile carrier role be required. AIM-174 I expect we won't see on the F-15EX or other USAF platforms, I can see it being a USN weapon only especially as the USAF seems all in on AIM-260 which likely matches better to the force structure and 5th gen platform intent.
The question is what role would an F-15EX play in a contested Taiwan straight conflict that is more important than the F-22? Sure it can launch long range AAMs and ASMs forward but who is going to target those and eventually you run out of targets and expensive weapons those F-15EXs can launch. SM-6 is not cheap nor will HACM be either and they likely will never have the stocks available comparted to other weapons. After you have expended those the F-15EX becomes a stooging 4.5 gen platform that cannot survive the dense IADS being developed and deployed by China without significant support likely better applied elsewhere.
NGAD isn't dead, it has been paused to ensure the direction and set of requirements matches what the USAF thinks it needs going forward. That may result in a change of direction but that change isn't no NGAD, just a different form. The tech developed for NGAD will continue into whatever new form it takes.
?? One of the two Primes expected to be in the running for the manned NGAD is LM which built both USAF 5th gen fighters. How is that not continuity?
no one said EX is a magic bullet. far from it. the whole premise of my post is to look at the realistic options that get us say 100 airframes in the next five years. because the only option is to buy F-15EX, magically restart F/A-18E/F line (for what purpose I have no clue), Bigfoot into the Viper production line, or do the same with F-35. We cannot buy more F-22. Absent a new fighter, these are the options.
F-35EX as a platform allows you to bring stand off weapons to the theaters with a threat that is completely independent to Raider or whatever B platform you're thinking of. My point was that having options for platforms that can launch HACM type weapon is valuable. you can focus on the yeah buts, but that's the reality. more platforms with different basing requirements to launch stand off weapons is a good thing. The other point I would make is that for inherently non-stealthy high value arial targets like tankers and AWACS, do you really want to dedicate Raptors or -35 to escort and defend? or do you use a couple of -15EX instead. A single EX can carry 12 AMRAAMs, which is 2x what a Raptor carries and 3x what a F-35 carries. show me one post where someone here is proposing that the use case for a -15EX buy is to have that type merge with a J-20 over the Taiwan straights as it dodge HQ-9 barrages.
as for surviving the dense Chinese IADS it doesn't have to, nor does it fit with how the US would deal with a IADS. As for how a F-15EX would contribute in a TS blockade or conflict I just told you - long range weapons. It would be a compliment to, not replacement for, heavier bomber capacity.
I didn't say 174. I said 174 class VLRAAM. Keep in mind the J in JATM comes from Joint. As in it's a JOINT USAF and USN missile. USN is all in on 260 and yet here we are with AIM-174... The reason is simple (range), since JATM is a prisoner to the tyranny of the -35/-22 weapons bay (which in turn is a slave to the AMRAAM OML) and absent any huge leaps in propellant chemistry or lightweight, medium duration power sources for seeker engagement post propellent exhaustion, JATM can only evolutionarily improve the range (seeker might be a different question altogether if GAN TRM can be made cheaply enough) over AMRAAM.
F-15E is a 20 year old airframe with city miles bc of GWOT. Guess what? it will have to be replaced, along with the C models aging out.
Im trying to have a sincere conversation but your comments are coming off as unconstructively pedantic about NGAD being a family of systems. Everyone here understands that. We are discussing the manned component of NGAD that was becoming pretty well characterized as a long-range, high MTOW, high-fuel fraction /pacific theater range and a $300mm price tag. There have been very clear, very obvious signs that this aircraft was intended to integrate many cutting edge technologies. What am I hearing is that there is a real conversation as to what extent any of those technology leaps actually improve the odds for air superiority.
There is a real conversation about the value for money at $300mm / airframe, and beneath that conversation is another one about how that $300mm/airframe is going to be inevitably too low (as has been the case with literally almost every fighter and aircraft airframe the US government has purchased in the last 45 years and then there is another conversation about when USAF would actually be able to field a reasonable number of NGADs, which is always longer than we think, and results in fewer airframes than hope.
The other reason the way this played out is frustrating is because a re-scoped, less-complicated, more affordable NGAD doesn't come quicker. On the contrary, in all likelihood.
As for the prime thing, I was referring to the fact that Boeing literally cannot design anything at the moment (T-7 canopy/seat issue, T-7 wing issue, B737 MAX, B777x, Starliner) and all signs point to relations between USAF and LM being pretty tense at the moment, especially around the software and supporting architecture side. NG is out of NGAD as we know, so its pick your poison.