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I've always been against the MRCA for naval use scenario for many reasons, it just simply wasn't designed for naval use and modifying it would have been problematic once the design was finalised.
I strongly believe based off the long RAF service, that the RN would have kept its Phantoms and Buccaneers until the early 1990s. At that point the choice is a naval EFA (which bring prospect of keeping France onboard) or buying the F/A-18, which could well have killed EFA in its tracks had the RAF got on board with that.
The other thing to bare in mind is that CVA-01 would have been due for replacement in the late 1990s so its possible that the STOVL solution in the JSF might still have been preferred.
I strongly believe based off the long RAF service, that the RN would have kept its Phantoms and Buccaneers until the early 1990s. At that point the choice is a naval EFA (which bring prospect of keeping France onboard) or buying the F/A-18, which could well have killed EFA in its tracks had the RAF got on board with that.
The other thing to bare in mind is that CVA-01 would have been due for replacement in the late 1990s so its possible that the STOVL solution in the JSF might still have been preferred.