Orionblamblam said:
RanulfC said:
Because Isolationism and inability to project power has always worked so well for us in the past?
In fact, yes. Look at WWII: While the US sat back, European powers pounded themselves into the stone age. When we finally came rolling in, we wound up masters of the world. I'd call that a win for us. Isolationism gave us time for everybody else to beat the tar out of each other.
Yep so that when we came out swinging everyone else was prepared, experianced, and better equipped so that we lost millions of men to even get "footholds" before we finally manged to outnumber and overwhelm the enemy. Lesson learned it is always better to fight from a prepared position on foreign soil than to have to take and hold a "foot-hold" and then fight some more. We "re-learned" that lesson the hard way again 5 years after the end of WWII in Korea.
Meanwhile while we "prepared" and deployed to our foothold in Inchon, China had lots of time to prepare for our arrivial and little reason to believe we'd actually "stop" once we started over-running North Korea. The result was we got rolled back using the exact same tactics WE used in WWII.
No the only thing isolationism has EVER done for the United State is make us complacent and out of touch. It makes us more capable of ignoring or underestimating threats which do not directly effect the continential United States and reduces our influance on the World Stage to little more than a bystander. You "crow" that after WWII we "ruled" the world, in truth we only did so after Korea and after we commited to the strategy of forward deployment and active involvment in world affairs. What you advocating is to return the United States being at best a second world nation with little involvment or interest in world affairs and throw away everything that we have managed to achieve since Korea.
If that is what you wish for that's fine as it IS a "free country" and you are allowed your opinion. I happen to side with the majority of Americans who have no wish to see US influance and prestige reduced to such levels for no obvious gain or reason. That means keeping out hands in international affairs and keeping our troops stationed around the world as "preperation" because we have just not invented the capability yet to deploy troops instantly from the CONUS to anywhere they are needed in the world at a moments notice. Now if we HAD that kind of capability you might have a leg to stand on with your argument...
Instead of running wars like the Persian Gulf War or the Iraq War, run them like the Iran-Iraq War: make money by selling arms (preferably to both sides), and use one country we don't like to slaughter another country we don't like.
Ah, yes that was such a success wasn't it?
Pretty much, yeah. Millions of Iranians died in revenge for their act of war against the US embassy, at extremely little cost to the US. Woo!
Indeed, as did thousands of Iraqis, and hundreds of "side-casualties" drawn in by both sides, the fact that only a small minority of Iranians were involved with or approved of the US embassy situation or resolution and those that were involved did NOT die in the conflict but those that were "innocent" did seems to please you to no end. As a proud, and supposedly "responsible" gun owner perhaps you should pay more attention to actually hitting your "target" rather than just randomly spraying bullets down range and calling it a win.
You are also wrong in that it was NOT a "success" as defined by your original supposition:
Instead of, say, military actions against regimes we don't like, sell tactical weapons to their opponents. Instead of running wars like the Persian Gulf War or the Iraq War, run them like the Iran-Iraq War: make money by selling arms (preferably to both sides), and use one country we don't like to slaughter another country we don't like.
Which didn't happen. After the "war" Iran was hurt but still capable of rebuilding its power and influance and Iraq was broke and needed a quick and "easy" source of income to recovery from the war they started and then lost. So they set their sites on Kuwait who was nominally a US allied/freindly nation and invaded. Setting the US on a course for direct involvment in order to save Kuwait from a nation we had assisted against Iran. (Despite that fact Iraq STILL tried to sink one of our warships) In the end Iran became a local power because WE had to destroy the only credible "opposition" force in the area.
End result? The United States lost credibility and "Iraq" ended up becoming a hostage to Iranian "good-will" while Iran rose to local power. Net loss for the United States and therefore it was NOT sucessful under any of the terms YOU set down.
Move the goal posts as much as you need to feel good but be aware that is usually a tactic of people who neither the will or knowledge to make and stand by their principles.
And of course meaning that in our own self interest of course we have to put money and resources into stirring up and keeping going wars all over the world so we can sell our weapons to them. Hey it worked for the Soviets didn't it?
They're still making buckets of money in the arms market. Their big problem was they tried to match the US defense budget.
Which as usual for your arguments ignores the actual point to try and "win" on an obscure reference. The USSR had to "export" Communism in the form of aid and military weapons support while at the same time maintain a spending rate on their own "defence" needs. Currently Russia does NOT have to do so because they have glut of oil/gas money to build up and maintain their military while making "extra" money by actually selling arms instead of basicly giving them away to their "allies" like the USSR. Which is after all pretty much what your are saying the US should do, so you should be happy for them.
As a consequence of this though the Russians have to use their political influance and power to ensure that "buyers" stay around to continue buying their wares. Thus the policy of blocking all action against the Syrians regime which gassed its own civilians to try and maintain control. Thus its policy of threatening to militaryily oppose anyone who even thinks about taking action against that regime.
So by your OWN logic here if Syria or any other government where to mass slaughter civilians because they MIGHT harbor rebel forces you would totally support such actions because as long as they keep buying our weapons everything is allright.
Lets again review what you SAID:
Restore American manufacturing capability by cranking out vast arsenals of cheap weapons made specifically for export... tanks, guns, planes, choppers, designed to compete with and undersell Chinese and Russian weapons. This would be a net *bonus* for the DoD financially, while reducing the need to spend.
My response was that this would REQUIRE us to use OUR power and influance to stir up and continue wars and civil wars around the world in order to keep out "market" intact. You failed to even bother addressing that point. Then again you probably can't since by the "logic" of your argument as shown above in the end America would sell these arms to anyone and everyone and then ensuring that those "customers" remain in power to continue to do so no matter what the cost or means. So I guess you actually HAVE answered the question from your view point.
(I might also point out that you might want to check into the current "status" of American manufacturing capability. It has been growing back in the last few years at a high rate because it has become "cheaper" to get better quality goods manufactured in America than depend on foreign labor which is currently demanding higher standards of living and wages while not improving actual quality of product as a whole. Paying Americans to do the job "right" the fist time has become simpler and cheaper so we have manufacturing moving back into the United States and have had for about a decade now. Just FYI)
Why waste the money when we can simply have one of our "surrogate" militaries go kill them all instead?
Because sometimes it's important to have the Hand Of God (i.e. the USAF, USMC, whatever) come in and erase a place.
Agreed in principle but on what basis do you make the assumption that the "Hand-of-God" would be capable of or even available to do so? The question remains how you see it as possilbe that the numerous reduction in forces, training, and equipment (the less you buy the more expensive each piece is remember) that would be entailed by your "solution" would not in any way necessarily carry over into "more" money being spent on the military. Point of fact but historically such reductions have always reduced military budgets rather than increased them and there is no reason to assume that poltics being what it is that same "conclusion" would be reached in this case. Polticians have never seen it as "important" to have a capable military unless they need one very badly by which time it is usually too late and the cost of "rebuilding" prohibitive.
Again your original assertion for review:
Use the actual budget for R&D on advanced strategic weapons and global-range strike capabilities. Someone decides to screw with us, space-based system light 'em up.
Nothing in the history of the United States shows that this course of action is feasible without a direct and evident threat already in existance. We have NEVER worked that way before and even in the face of an existing threat polticians move slowly if at all to recognize and counter the danger. You assume this would some how change but have nothing to support that assumption.
Hence my question still standa un-answered; If we have gone to all the trouble to "create" surrogate militaries to protect us what would be the logic of spending large sums of money on our own and why would be feel any need to get directly involved in any action?
Oh and I like the idea of privitizing the military too, after all that worked so well for the Romans didn't it?
Yeah, for around a millenium. Let me know when the US lasts that long.
Which shows a really disturbing lack of knowledge of history really. Lets again review your original statement for clarity:
Orionblamblam said:
TaiidanTomcat said:
Privatize the military then?
Many good arguments in favor of that.
You've yet to make one at all.
Issue letters of marque and reprisal.
As Ron Paul discovered when he suggested such, under international law (and US regulations) these are not legal from any nation with a standing military. Legally and financially the cost of "responsibilty" for issuing and maintaining these has been prohibitive which is why we stopped issuing them during the Civil War and wrote regulations against them afterwards. The quality of results and "hit-or-miss" nature of such operations is why we formed and kept the Navy in the fist place.
Hire the likes of Blackwater to achieve specific military objectives, and let them choose the forces and weapons to use. Advantages include the ability to be hands-off (any troops that get captured are like as not going to be non-US citizens), as well as being economically more efficient, while not expending any actual US troops or armament.
Blackwater would be happy to be hired I'm sure, however they don't (and would not) hire "non-US citizens" for such jobs. Nor do they advertise or accept jobs having to do with "specific military objectives" since they are NOT a military but more a mercenary force with a focus on security. Worse for your supposition is that because they are NOT a "military" force they do not qualify for any protections under the Geneva Conventions yet as the "hiring" agent the United States government is held accountable for their actions. In the end its all the head-aches of "regular" military forces with none of the controls.
If you lay out specifics in the contract (they only get the funds when certain goals are achieved; violations of human rights cost certain dollar penalties, etc.), you should be able to get quite efficient mercenary operations with minimal collateral damage.
Assuming of course you can get anyone to actually accept such a contract. The part about getting funds when certain goals are achieved is actually pretty standard though there has to be an "up-front" payment before the mercenary groups will even begin mobilizing. Blackwater and most of the other "security" firms require a stipulated contract and limited if any ROE and oversight. Any straight Mercenary organization will insist on "half-up-front" and NO restrictions on how they get the job done. Their "job" is to kill people and break their stuff so any talk of "penalties" would have them walking out the door.
And you can't really blame them either since AS Mercenary forces they have no protections under the law so they are pretty much damned if they do or damned if they don't so it is "better" to ensure "their" safety. If you hired a mercenary group to go in and rescue a certain person in a hostage situation they would go in and kill everyone BUT the target regardless because that is the easiest and most simple way to do the job with the least overall risk to themselves.
Blackwater, et-al would insist on all sorts of "non-responsibile for collateral damge" clauses before they would take such an assignment, and though they might "try" to keep the other hotages alive they would consider the Target as primary and themselves secondary with everyone else a distant third. Nice to have it you can get it without exposing yourself, screw-em if you can't.
(It helps is you have done your research, I did for a story that was never written. I corresponded with and talked with several mercenaries and various "professionals" and found out my concepts were totally out of whack with how the "real-world" operates. A sobering lesson)
Finally lets put your argument in historic perspective: Rome used mecenary forces for most of its history as auxilaries and never as major components of a military force, and never by themselves. (They DID use their power and influance to foster conflict in and between nations they were planning on taking over as well as between "threat" nations to prevent them from amassing the strength to attack them.) It was not until the last decades of its existance that they actually "privitized" their military to the point where the mercenary man-power outnumbered the actual Roman military. This situation lasted about as long as you'd expect, once the mercenaries realized that their "pay-masters" couldn't muster the forces to stop them from doing so the mercenaries took over. And once faced with enemies of equal power they choose to take the money and run rather than fight.
Arguments have actually been made by people who are serious about trying to privitize the military as much as possible but they usually stop short of trying to replace the actual combat troops. This is for a very good reason. Effective combat troops of a national military willingly put themselve in harms way for reasons that the average person would find "stupid" and totally illogical because a large number of them do NOT do it "just" for the paycheck. Priorities are totall different and someone who is in it "for-the-money" would never accept restrictions that increase their chance of not living to collect that money.
It is a nice dream of the polticians having the foresight and will to turn the military of the US into a very elite, well equipped and high tech fighting force but the truth is they are unwilling to spend any more than they have too and more often than not they would rather "prioritize" by personal/local "interests" rather than what is best for the military or the nation. (Forcing the Army to buy tanks they don't need and can't man comes to mind) Reality is what we have to deal with though, and none of the "suggestions" above has worked in the past and it doesn't seem likely that there are any major factors that have changed to make them work today.
Randy