I wouldn't rule out an Astute lease as impossible but its very unlikely, until at least Agamemnon commissions in 2024 when Triumph retires as the last Trafalgar.
At the moment we have 3 Astute operational, 1 Astute working up, 1 Trafalgar, 1 Trafalgar winding down to decommission in 2022 and 1 Trafalgar gone by the end of this year.
In 2023 we'll have 4 Astute and 1 Trafalgar [this year also marks Astute's halfway through her 25 year service life]
In 2024 we'll have 4 Astute, 1 Astute working up and 1 Trafalgar decommissioning
In 2025 we'll have 5 Astute and 1 Astute working up
In 2026 we'll have 6 Astute and 1 Astute working up (if Agincourt really is completed on schedule) [this year also marks Ambush's halfway through her 25 year service life]
So for the best part of the next 5 years we're down to 5 SSNs with probably at least one or more in refit at any one time plus with training commitments we're probably looking at 3 at sea at any one time.
We are actually at a peak right now, things are going to look less rosy in another 24 months time.
Sure one these could be in the Far East with a joint RN/RAN crew but that leaves 2 for NATO and SSBN screening plus there is no Australian base yet and there doesn't seem to be a plan to park SSNs in Bahrain so that's still a long transit there and back. Even if we could tie up at an Australian dock the logistics chain for parts still has a long trail back to Rosyth/Barrow.
This ain't the 1960s... those Oberons were out east then to train the RAN in ASW techniques (same as the boats sent to Canada). They were not forward deployed strike assets or intended to escort convoys of vital materials around the Chinese bastions via the Coral Sea and the Western Pacific like the RAN SSNs will be.