RGClark said:
Of course, the relevant national security agencies would need to deny the use of James Webb-class scopes. Then estimates for spy sat resolution would stay at those of Hubble-class scopes.
These systems are governed by the laws of physics. There is nothing to "deny".
However, just out of curiosity can you point me to the money used to develop this fleet of "James Webb-class" payloads? Or the workforce that was employed to do so? The companies who received the billions of dollars of government funds required to develop them? The organizations that provided legislative oversight? I mean, FIA was a big program and was very visible. So were other imaging reconnaissance programs - even the "stealth satellite"!
RGClark said:
As mentioned in that Space.com article on stealth satellites, it is believed the DoD uses decoys to disguise the actual spy sat orbits. After reaching orbit various stealth methods could be used to hide their location.
No, not really. And having a large, folding, reflecting surface (and sunshield!) does not help matters.
RGClark said:
Even if it is the case, which I doubt, that the DoD would not want optical resolution better than Hubble-class telescopes, there are a few reasons for larger scopes. One reason is that the larger scopes can be at higher altitude which would improve their lack of detectability while maintaining the same resolution.
And what would be the military or intelligence utility in increased resolution? Best case you are talking about going from being able to resolve an object about 2.5 inches to one that is 0.94 inches. That's at the low point of USA-224's orbit. Sadly, a 6.5m mirror will not magically allow you to identify faces (that would require a primary much, much larger, or a different solution entirely).
Let's not ignore that imaging intelligence satellites are not just "telescopes pointing down". The change orbits. They have to point themselves in all kinds of interesting ways. They are commonly used to capture low oblique images rather than straight down. This can make them very different from something like Webb or HST. This gets a lot harder to do with a large folding mirror like the Webb.
Putting a satellite higher is a costly an ineffective counter detection strategy. It costs a lot less for your adversary to make a better detection system than it does for you to put it higher.
RGClark said:
Another is the larger area would have higher light collecting ability so can do imaging better in low light or partially cloud covered scenarios. Still another is that infrared observations useful at night which because of their longer wavelength would have worse resolution than optical observations would have now resolution equal to or better than the previous scopes at optical wavelengths.
Larger mirrors do not have the advantages you are citing for this application. There are many resources available in your local library that may help you better understand the physics, politics, and policy that shapes imaging intelligence programs.