Future USAF Transport Projects (MACK, ATT, NGT, AMC-X, AJACS, HAWSTOL, Speed Agile)

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Why wouldn't "they' just build one of these? Looks like most of the work's already done. There certainly would be more than one use for this—a very small fleet would still be a tremendous asset.
 
Why wouldn't "they' just build one of these? Looks like most of the work's already done. There certainly would be more than one use for this—a very small fleet would still be a tremendous asset.

A wind tunnel model and some simulation is nowhere close to "most of the work." They'd be billions of dollars away from a flying aircraft with the work they've shown publicly.
 
There's an excellent case for a couple dozen Speed Agile craft, just for supporting SOCOM. But then you run into a deniability problem that if you see a Speed Agile, that means SOCOM is there. So for sake of not advertising where SOCOM is working, you need more than just the couple dozen to replace all the MC130s and EC130s. Call it 60 airframes, ~40x MC, ~20x EC, not counting any gunships.

Assuming that the AC-130 gets a stealthy replacement, and I'm not sure that's a valid idea, there's another 16.

Now, the Navy/Marines would probably like a stealthy C130, that's another 80 aircraft, primarily as tankers, but they do have some light gunship mods installed with Harvest HAWK.

That's 160ish aircraft, a pretty good sized production run to be able to get some economies of scale going, and now seeing a Speed Agile just means that someone is flying the weird plane, not guaranteed to be SOCOM anymore.

And of course the regular USAF has another 200+ Hercs that could be replaced, but that's kinda the minimum buy size I see. Twisting Congress' arm hard enough to get funding for a 350+ plane production run, especially when not all the old C130s have been replaced with -Js yet, is probably a reach too far, unless or until the US starts seeing a lot of losses due to A2AD around airports.
 

very old data

AC-X Replacement Gunship

In late December 2001 a Department of Defense Program Budget Decision (PBD) called for purchasing at least 8 additional AC-130U Spooky gunships, and initiating work on a possible replacement gunship aircraft. The PBD added funding to accelerate and fully fund an Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration for the AC-X aircraft. The AC-X could be either a further upgrade to the existing AC-130 an entirely new follow-on system. At that time formal procurement program for the AC-X was expected to begin in Fiscal Year 2005.

Special operators wanted the new gunship, or AC-X, to be much smaller than a C-130, with fewer crew members. They wanted it to be stealthy, with the speed and maneuverability of a long-range jet fighter. They also wanted it equipped with directed energy weapons and non-lethal technologies, and expected that it would be able to engage targets from any angle-above and below, front and back.

The USSOCOM Advanced Technology Development program conducted rapid prototyping and Advanced Technology Demonstrations (ATD). It provided a means for demonstrating and evaluating the utility of emerging/advanced technologies in as realistic an operational environment as possible by SOF users. The FY03 plan was to participate in SOF C4I, Mobility, Weapons, and Sustainment ATDs; manage the Advanced Tactical Laser Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration (ACTD); and continue the AC-X Analysis of Alternatives. Aircraft Experimentation (AC-X) was intended to develop and explore the emerging technologies for the next generation of the AC-130 gunship. The budget request included $55.5 million for the AC-X Gunship Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration (ACTD). This effort was to initiate an Advanced Tactical Laser ACTD. The overall intent was to understand the military need, provide preliminary concepts of operation for a directed energy weapon on the battlefield to support the warfighter, and assess the military utility based on the ACTD demonstration.

As of 2005, the US Marine Corps was working to develop an advanced Gunship Advanced Combined Arms Weapons Suite (GACAWS) capability that was compatible with any Marine Corps tactical gunship platform. The GACAWS suite would constitute an advanced combined arms firepower capability that integrates a variety of advanced non-kinetic and conventional kinetic weapons (DEW & KEW) capabilities for the flexible and effective application of force in support of the MAGTF across the full spectrum of projected 21st Century conflict.

Work associated with GACAWS included USMC support of work to develop a High Energy Laser (HEL). Weapons that generated ultra violet (UV), optical, and infrared (IR) wavelength ultra-short pulse, short pulse and/or continuous wave (CW) coherent laser energy were a requirement. This included HEL sources that focused on all-electric solid state (SS) and high power fiber optic laser (FOL) technologies of 1 kilowatt average power or greater, that were frequency agile, that could alternately produce both high average or high peak power. HEL weapons systems would be scalable and adaptable to various vehicle, tactical gunship and sea-based platforms. Options would include phase-locked fiber optic arrays for platform topological conformity. Conventional optical apertures should all benefit from adaptive optics to optimize atmospheric propagation and maximize energy delivered to target.

While HEL weapon development continued, additional programs centered on exploration of new gunship platforms. In Fiscal Year 2007, the Dual Mode Small Gunship and Close Air Support Technology for Loitering Engagement (CASTLE) programs were initiated. In addition, in 2007, the USAF took delivery of 4 AC-130U aircraft with a modified weapon's suite.

In 2008, after it became apparent that the USAF's AC-130 fleet was under significant strain from operational requirements, it was decided to explore the possibility of converting C-27J airlifters into small gunships, tentatively referred to as AC-27J. The nickname Stinger II, a reference to the AC-119K Stinger gunship, was also used to refer to these aircraft. The USAF also began exploring ways to recapitalize the AC-130H fleet.

The AC-27J proposal, referred to variously as AC-XX, Gunship Light, and Gunship Lite, was evaluated during 2008 and 2009. In 2010, the decision was made to abandon the AC-27J proposal in favor of a modular Precision Strike Package (PSP) that could be rapidly fitted to Air Force Special Operations Command C-130 aircraft. The initial PSP development was done using a modified MC-130W Combat Spear aircraft under Project Dragon Spear. The US Marine Corps had also continued work on a similar modular package, called Harvest HAWK, which it fitted to modified KC-130J aircraft beginning in 2010. Harvest HAWK aircraft were deployed to Afghanistan for operations by October 2010.


The initial USAF plan for the PSP was to fit the system on an interim basis to MC-130W aircraft, while recapitalizing AC-130H to a similar configuration, where they could also be fitted with the PSP. After the AC-130Hs were recapitalized, the MC-130W aircraft would be returned to their standard unarmed configuration. By 2012, this plan had been supplanted by one to instead recapitalize the AC-130H aircraft to the MC-130J Commando II configuration, and to make the PSP an optional capability for both the MC-130W and MC-130J aircraft. The designation AC-130W Stinger II was subsequently assigned to MC-130W aircraft fitted with the PSP and it was expected that the designation AC-130J and another new nickname would be applied to similar configured MC-130J aircraft. It was unclear at that time whether this planned optional capability for these aircraft fulfilled the previous AC-X requirements and expectations.

The USAF received the first MC-130J to be converted to the AC-130J configuration on 9 January 2013. As of January 2013, a total of 37 MC-130J prototypes were to be modified as part of a $2.4 billion AC-130J program to grow the future fleet. The first AC-130J was expected to be completed in November 2013 and expected to be ready for initial flight testing by December 2013. At that time it was also announced that the AC-130J would receive the official nickname Ghostrider.

At the National Defense Industry Association's 2013 Special Operations Forces Industry Conference (SOFIC) in May 2013, it was reported that a side-firing weapon system demonstration involving the C-145A aircraft (the US designation for the Polish PZL M-28 Skytruck) was underway. The demonstration was specifically said to be part of work to enable partner nation aircrew training on tactics, techniques, and procedures associated with side-firing gunships and their use in missions like convoy escort and support of ground forces. The weapon system used was said to be a flexible gun mount featuring 2 GAU-18/A .50 caliber machine guns.

The AC-130J was to follow the path of the Dragon Spear program.[31] On 9 January 2013, the Air Force began converting the first MC-130J Combat Shadow II into an AC-130J.[32] The first AC-130J was delivered to AFSOC on 29 July 2015.[33] The first AC-130J gunships achieved initial operational capability (IOC) on 30 September 2017.[34] The AC-130J has two planned increments: the Block 10 configuration includes an internal 30 mm gun, small diameter bombs, and laser-guided missiles launched from the rear cargo door; and Block 20 configuration adds a 105 mm cannon, large aircraft infrared countermeasures, wing-mounted Hellfire missiles, and radio-frequency countermeasures.[35]

The Air Force decided to add a 105 mm cannon to the AC-130J in addition to the 30 mm cannon and smart bombs, the shells being more accurate and cheaper than dropping SDBs. AFSOC is actively pursuing a directed-energy weapon on board the AC-130J in place of the 30 mm gun by 2022,[36][37] similar to the previous Advanced Tactical Laser program. It is to produce a beam of up to 120 kW, or potentially even 180–200 kW, weigh about 5,000 lb (2,300 kg), defensively destroy antiaircraft missiles, and offensively engage communications towers, boats, cars, and aircraft.[38][39][40] However, laser armament may only be installed on a few aircraft rather than the entire AC-130J fleet;[41] the laser will be mounted on the side in place of the 30 mm cannon.[42] Other potential additions include an active denial system to perform airborne crowd control, and small unmanned aerial vehicles from the CLTs to provide remote video feed and coordinates to weapons operators through cloud cover.[43] Called the Tactical Off-board Sensor (TOBS), the drones would be expendable and fly along a programmed orbit to verify targets the aircraft cannot see itself because of bad weather or standing off from air defenses.[40][41] AFSOC was to initially use the Raytheon Coyote small UAV for the TOBS mission, as it is an off-the-shelf design with a one-hour endurance, but plans to fulfill the role with a new drone capable of a four-hour endurance by 2019.[28]

The Air Force was also interested in acquiring a glide bomb that can be launched from the CLTs, capable of hitting ground vehicles traveling as fast as 120 km/h (70 mph) while above 10,000 ft (3,000 m).[44] In June 2016, Dynetics was awarded a contract by SOCOM to integrate its tactical munition onto the AC-130. Designated the GBU-69/B Small Glide Munition, the weapon weighs 27 kg (60 lb) and is armed with a 16-kilogram (35 lb) blast-fragmentation warhead that can detonate by direct impact or at a selected height; despite being smaller, being unpowered allows for its warhead to be heavier than those on the Hellfire and Griffin A missiles, 9 kg (20 lb) and 5.9 kg (13 lb), respectively. Guidance is provided by a GPS receiver with antispoofing software and four distributed-aperture semiactive laser seeker apertures adapted from the WGU-59/B APKWS for terminal guidance.[45][46][47] Approval for fielding occurred in early 2017.[48] Dynetics was awarded a contract to deliver an initial batch of 70 SGMs in June 2017, with plans to buy up to 1,000.[49] The SGM can travel 20 mi (32 km).[50]


Future

As of 2023, AC-130 gunships have been providing close air support for special operators for 56 years. Although the aircraft have been kept relevant through constant upgrades to their weaponry, sensor packages, and countermeasures, they are not expected to be survivable in future nonpermissive environments due to their high signatures and low airspeeds. Military analysts, such as the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, have suggested that AFSOC invest in more advanced technologies to fill the role to operate in future contested combat zones, including a mix of low-cost disposable unmanned and stealthy strike aircraft.[51]
 

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