Orionblamblam said:
conquering a depopulated Germany? Had the war dragged on till the 50's, there'd be a lot fewer of each population. The best and brightest of both would either be dead, or done their damnedest to hightail the hell out of there.
Well I don’t think the war would have gone on until the 1950s. Germany just didn’t have it in them with or without a USA military involvement. The Red Army would have still advanced into Germany by 1945 and the RAF would have still firebombed all their cities in 43, 44, 45. Without the diversion of RAF bomber command away from Germany in mid 44 to support Overlord they would have done even more damage. Strategically the USAAF bomber force was not doing much damage to Germany until they started to support RAF fire bombing. And all those American trucks that provided the Soviets with logistic mobility would still be there just their receipts would have been lodged in the City of London for payment due.
In the greater scheme of things the German divisions destroyed in France were pretty minor compared to what was going on in the Eastern Front. The best thing the western allies did apart from strategic air against the Germans in 44 and 45 is unleash their fighters onto German skies. But all those Mustangs would still be there over Germany destroying Me 109s and strafing everyone that moved in 44 and 45 without the USAAF because they would be built for the RAF and flown by the many spare pilots the EATS was producing at this time.
I would imagine the difference would be no Overlord in 44 but something similar without the heavy resistance in mid 45 (the Germans would have no fuel) as the Red Army takes Berlin. The British and Soviet Armies meet on the Rhine and the Brenner Pass with the Germans left to the fate that the Russians determine for them. The British forces liberate France, the low countries and Norway. Denmark I’m afraid would join the Baltics and Central European nations behind the Iron Curtain.
Orionblamblam said:
I suspect if you re-read the exchange, you'll realize that you're making my point for me here.
But Europe does not end the war much different to that it did in real life. The primary difference, apart form the stop line of the various allied armies, is like the end of WW1 the UK owes the USA a lot of money. A fair bit of this debt would be passed onto France and those countries that are liberated by the UK. Italy would also be flogged with lots of reparations but would consider itself lucky it didn’t end up under Soviet control. But the UK would then have to pay it off. But they did so after WW1 and could do so again if they had to. It would just mean a lot less economic growth and comfort for British subjects. I also argue that it would probably mean no independence for the colonies as they are flogged to provide more low cost resources to generate goods to pay off the American lenders.
Orionblamblam said:
The US military was already building up prior to Pearl Harbor. Had we stayed out of Europe, we'd still have tangled with the Japanese, since they brought the war to us.
But this is a case of having your cake and eating it to. The USA only builds up its forces because the President wants to fight the Germans. The Navy was already on establishment (in peace time) to counter the Japanese and it was only when the USA started to get heavily enmeshed in the European conflict that the Japanese started to think they could get away with a way against the USA. So if the USA is unwilling to be involved in the European War there would be no major program to build up the Army, Air Forces and Navy. The later was called the “Two Ocean Navy Act” so the USN could counter the Japanese while still fighting Germany and was passed as a response to the fall of France in 1940.
Now without the US being willing to fight in Europe then there would still be huge armaments expansion in the US but it would be in the main for the UK and France and then later the Soviet Union (on the UK’s account). The capacity would not be as great as if the US was planning on being an active belligerent but it would still be huge enough to give an undistracted USA the potential to easily defeat Japan so they wouldn’t have gambled that way. The Japanese were quite conservative in their pre war decision making (they just appointed radicals to run the war) and without a belligerent USA placing oil blockades and the like they wouldn’t need to fight.
Orionblamblam said:
Had the bulk of the US military been in the Pacific, and America's interest directed at Asia rather than Europe, and especilly if we'd gotten to Operation Downfall a year or so earlier, there'd almost certainly be US troops in China fighting the Japanese. So hopefully Mao and his merry band of genocidal murderers would have either been rendered moot, or at least strung up.
That war and those forces just wouldn’t exist. With an isolationist USA Japan doesn’t have to attack the Philippines and Hawaii to attack the Dutch East Indes which had the oil they were looking for (if they even needed it). They could just sail past the Philippines with no doubt the USN incensed but powerless to intervene without USG approval.
Orionblamblam said:
And what would be the condition of the European colonial powers if the Germans remain a militarily dominant force through the 1940's? And the colonies *were* cahs cows. otherwise they wouldn't have been colonies. They just replaced "cash" with stuff like "oil."
The colonies were only cash cows if you were resource poor Europe. They had little to offer the USA with its own domestic sources of abundant resources. What’s the USA going to do with Africa and Asian cotton, grain and ore? Put its own people out of work?
Orionblamblam said:
Ha, ha. Now you’re beginning to sound like James Cameron.
Now you're just getting nasty.
Yep definitely a below the belt hit, I withdraw it and apologise. Besides he must’n believe in cause and effect because of the Terminator franchise… You blow the evil computer up in the past before it can be developed and still comes back to nuke you ten years later.