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But the strategic consequences would be... significant. USSR would essentially get a stronghold right in the middle of Mediterranean. Spanish and even North African bases of NATO would be within bomber (later missile) range, and any kind of NATO naval operation in Eastern Med would be extremely hard; support of Turkey nearly impossible. With missile-carrying bombers and land-based coastal missiles in Italy, essentially the whole area became the Soviet Navy operating bastion. Also, the possibility of attack on Southern France became quite a reality, both overland and amphibious operation.


It seems that in this scenario, USSR would put a lot of efforts into creating the Mediterranean fleet in mid-1950s. And France and Britain would be forced to invest much more in their navies, trying to hold the Western Med.


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