@Orionblamblam : Wait... Is
non-proliferation an Anti-Nuclear tag today?!!
But I guess that's not what you want to underline above and that there is more.
He writes:
Quiet as it’s kept, close to San Francisco sits a commercial facility with enough highly enriched uranium to make a nuclear weapon — on the scale of the bombs dropped on Japan at the end of World War II.
Such ridiculous alarmism, conflating a reactor with a bomb, is not the mark of a serious individual but rather an activist with an axe to grind.
I didn't read the article or anything but I'm very good at contextual clues, so based entirely on that quoted statement and prior knowledge of how anti-proliferation arguments tend to read: Honestly it sounds more like a concern with site security and the storage of fissionables in a place where they can be stolen, left behind, or scattered to the seven seas (or a square kilometer or two comprising a nuclear powered FOB that holds a theater level command), really.
Those are real and factual concerns given the ability of America to strike airbases no matter how well defended, and the ability of Taliban insurgents to blow up American aircraft parked on a flight line in an ostensibly defended fighter base, and Iran to do the same. Why wouldn't they be able to do the same to a nuclear reactor, even if entirely by accident? Or deliberately, by using a drone with an RPG-7 warhead to puncture the reactor's housing or something. I think some ISIS guys did that in Syria to Russia, except the reactor in this case was some tanks at their big airbase.
Anti-proliferation arguments tend to be rooted less in nuclear alarmism of "the reactor will explode like Hiroshima or someone might make an atom bomb like in that Tom Clancy book that anti-proliferation guys like (for some reason the pro-nuclear guys like Red Storm Rising)" and more in the fact that by having more nuclear weapons, reactors, and highly enriched storage sites, the chances of one of those storage sites being looted for their fissionable material and turned into a dirty bomb or something, approaches unity. Dirty bomb in this case being the actual "500-1000 lbs of <insert plastique here> scatters radioactive dust across a city block" case of a failed fissionable detonation, or just an angry guy with a truckload of smoke detectors.
This might be less of an issue for the United States than, say, North Korea or Iran...or it might be more. That's something of an known unknown. As is people know about it being an issue (nuclear stewardship is why the atomic club is so exclusive and why people are so willing to share atom bombs with other people instead of letting them build their own: the Kremlin falling apart was hair raising enough, what about when Beijing, Pyongyang, or Tehran decide to go poof?), but it's unknown whether the United States is a better or worse guardian of nuclear materials than any other atomic materials stewards in the long run. Its certainly had its share of nuclear accidents, which thankfully never meant anything, because it's a fairly diligent steward. So far.
So take your standard "nuclear 911" scenario where someone blows up a dirty bomb in DC, New York, Los Angeles (or London, Moscow, Tokyo, the Baghdad Green Zone, Khandahar, take your pick) is something of a problem if every FOB in Afghanistan or Iraq is powered by atomic energy.
It would be really embarrassing for America if someone blows up their enriched fuel nuclear reactor with a truck bomb or a mortar or something and scatters the material across an airbase FOB, I'd think. It would also bring out the anti-nuclear types like "families of soldiers, Marines, and airmen affected by people inhaling highly radioactive dust who could have been using conventional diesel generators to power their pornography collections/iPads in the barracks which doesn't drastically increase the costs of TRICARE a few years down the road". In a time of tight budgets that might be a problem since the biggest long-term expenditures of DOD spending are related to healthcare and soldiers' retirement benefits at the end of the day. And those are always popular, especially with an aging and greying population and shrinking taxpayer age demographic base. You could just eliminate that outright but a lot of people would probably complain about the guy who campaigns on the platform of "destroying your pension, your healthcare benefits, and your service related social security", and it's not likely to occur now especially since the current administration is looking to expand those benefits.
That aside, the Army would also need to raise a corps of nuclear engineers, analogous to the Navy, at a time when the Navy is increasingly being forced by budgetary, economic, and industrial constraints to scale back its own nuclear power programs. Seems unlikely that nuclear power is going to be panacea if it costs more than just shipping cheap shale or using solar panels or something, but it's perhaps worth looking at. Which is ultimately all they're doing. There's no guarantee (and a whole load of conditions attached) that the Army will purchase field nuclear plants. The Navy came to the conclusion that nuclear reactors for carriers cost more than conventional carriers a while ago, so the Army may come to similar conclusions.
Folks could ignore these arguments, sure, but they shouldn't act shocked when people decide that nuclear energy might not be worth it after the first field atomic powerplant gets blown up by a satchel charge, or captured by ISIS or something, who blow up a dirty bomb in downtown Tel Aviv or the Baghdad Green Zone using its fissionables I guess. Or less dramatically, when the Army decides that raising a corps of nuclear engineers isn't worth the effort because their attempts at making a self-regulating, prepackaged nuclear powerplant that operates 100% on computers without any human supervision also isn't worth it, because it doesn't save any money over having the same number of people (one or two per reactor) be much cheaper and less stringently selected 11Bs who run out with a jerry can to refuel a diesel genny.
Angry revanchists looking to pollute the nearest major three blocks of a US or US-allied megacity is more a DPRK thing I'd guess, but DOD is already planning for that one.
Given that the prospect of anyone building an atom bomb with fissionables of any type is pretty low (although I suppose you might be able to do a gun-type weapon, but only in the same vein that people were concerned about anthrax plants in the nineties and oughties: highly unrealistic movie fodder that is at the extreme end of the bell curve of possible nuclear incidents) the real threat is always going to be contamination of a local area, which is always bad, and the potential lives lost as a result of that. I guess if you don't care about that it's not a problem, but to extend that moral solution equitably, you also shouldn't be too worried about who specifically is fielding tactical nuclear powerplants either.
Those sort of "not-implausible-as-they're-based-on-real-world-scenarios-but-with-nukes hypotheticals" are usually the basis of anti-proliferation arguments, at least.
I'm highly skeptical that field reactors are going to be any more practical than existing fossil fuel generators though.
There's a lot of infrastructure for fossil fuel movement in DOD, and the nuclear reactor is adding an additional layer on top of this. The Navy decided a long time ago that nuclear submarines are ideal if only because fleet submarines for trans-Pacific operations are not sufficient when conventionally powered to be operated from CONUS, or Pearl Harbor, for that matter. So there's a lot of good reasons why a submarine is nuclear powered. OTOH, it's slowly reconsidering the question for nuclear carriers, since none of the nuclear carriers have nuclear escorts, and they likely will never have nuclear escorts again, and nuclear carriers are more expensive to own and operate than conventional ones. Given the shrinking sizes of air wings today, and better fuel economies of modern fighters, as well as the high performance of PGMs, the arguments for "ordnance and fuel" are far less convincing than they were off Yankee Station 60 years ago.
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Most of the stronger arguments against Pele are insurmountable no matter how much you engineer your powerplant can be summarized as thus: small reactor bad, big reactor good.
IMO a better starting argument for Pele by the Army would have been increasing DOD's "energy island" capabilities CONUS-side. Powering Fort Bragg or Fort Knox with a base nuclear plant would be pretty cool, or just having DOD use a single nuclear reactor to power all its bases. But that would be a lot harder to push past NIMBYs and require DOE, the arch anti-proliferators, approval to the same regulations as a civil reactor: i.e. a hardened containment unit to protect against attack and accidental release of fissionables. So that would be a no-go entirely, unless self-powered bases completely disconnected from the civil energy grid become an administration issue or mandate.
That would still require the Army to have nuclear reactor technicians and powerplant steam turbine operators though, which is why the energy island thing has been limited to diesel gennies, off site wind turbines, and solar panels with big batteries, which can be handled by current Army 12R's and diesel mechanics. You contract out the wind farm. So unless there was some giant requirement for high powered equipment or large base loads (there isn't, Army requirement for energy island capacity is extremely austere at the end of the day, and a single commercial nuclear powerplant with a few (three or four) reactor units could power all Army bases in CONUS easily) then it's not a huge deal. I'm not a huge fan of solar (my hometown recently built a large solar farm though) or wind due to environmental effects, but nuclear reactors wouldn't be popular on post for obvious reasons aside from NIMBYism (which itself is usually a deflection).
Until Texas starts getting frequent snowstorms, and still doesn't upgrade its turbines for some reason,
Fort Hood's base commander will just get a bit more money from DOD to drop on the energy bill. So a totally power grid independent nuclear base load Army is probably impossible to justify given how responsive US civil energy grids are. Which is a good thing. An array of 10-50 Pele type plants is probably more expensive than another wind farm. Perhaps the Army could ask DOE for a trial NuScale SMR since that is a 50 MWe plant?
Naturally that would be entirely different from Pele, which was designed for FOB and airbase power i.e. possibly the dumbest use of nuclear energy besides powering a neighborhood or something.
In practice I think the actual thing that will kill the nuclear field reactor is a combination of armored convoy transports and robotic trucks led by a remote controlled vehicle. Why send out a 88M when you can have a 88M sit in a shelter at the FOB and drive the truck using a datalink, like a drone? The rest of the convoy can be unmanned HEMTTs put in "follow the leader" mode. Diesel transports are now no longer a source of casualty production in any potential combat, and the occasional Joe running out with a jerry can can be just a Joe, instead of a 130 IQ, 2-year long cycle time, $5 million atom man. The main driver for Pele, which was always about reducing casualties, is now gone. After all, building up a whole nuclear power grid for austere field use seems like a lot of effort just to keep Jessica Lynch out of an Iraqi hospital.
The Army will probably agree with all that and close Pele with a curt "the reactor worked fine, but we found a cheaper [hence: better] solution to our problem, thanks".
Then it'll transfer all of Pele's hypothetical monies to the stupid intercontinental cannon lol.
Thank you for coming to my TED talk.