Supersonic Soviet bombers for China

[AE220]

What if China received more types of Soviet bombers before the Sino-Soviet split?
The Tu-22 being supplied in the early 1960s for example
How would maintance or license bulding go?
How would this change the Japanese or Taiwanese doctrines and aircraft purchases?
Did the Tu-22 have as much room for upgrade as the Tu-16s?

 

[overscan (PaulMM)]

Tu-22 is a technical dead end - the Tu-16 was superior for most missions. I can't see that China getting some would changing anything, the Tu-22s would become unserviceable and be withdrawn from service and China would build H-6s.

 

[lancer21]

What could happen is the Tu-22 being build instead of the completely obsolete Il-28/H-5. Regardless of it's limitations, surely the Tu-22 is far more capable than the Il-28. So the chinese bomber force would be equipped with Tu-22 and Tu-16 derivatives instead of Tu-16 and Il-28 derivatives. It would also give PRC access to the more advanced radars and engines on the Tu-22.

Does the OP considers other bomber types than the Tu-22? The Tu-95 and/or M-4 being the other obvious candidates, for true strategic capability.

Does any Yak tactial bombers fall under the OP timeline too? Yak-28 was just about ready by the sino-soviet split, or perhaps the earlier Yak-27 could be transfered.

 

[kaiserd]

The Blinder is too late for sharing/ transfer with China before the Sino-Soviet split; by the time of even just theoretical availability the rupture was too wide for the Soviets to prioritise handing over examples etc. of their most advanced bomber at the time.
In terms of bomber aircraft at the time the PRC had no choice but to take whatever aircraft the USSR decided to provide them with (and the Tu-16 design proved, and continues to be, a great servant for the PRC).

Additionally the Tu-22 really wasn’t any good and given the limitations of China’s embryonic aviation industry and the coming chaos of the Cultural Revolution it would have taken much longer to produce any versus the far more versatile and useful Tu-16 (and long lived). Indeed a theoretical scenario of the PRC trying to over ambitiously go with the Tu-22 could have crippled their aviation industry and killed plans for any kind of bomber force beyond their Il-28s/ H-5s.

Plus the Tu-22 is a completely different size and weight category to the Il-28 (the Tu-22 about 5 times heavier).

 

[AE220]

What about the Yak-27/28? Would it be a valid replacement for the Il-28/h-5?