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You can blame CAATSA for part of that, otherwise there would be Su-35s flying in Egypt (might still happen, a dozen have actually been built!) and Indonesia as we speak. Both of which are customers high-profile enough to be courted by Western OEMs as well.




Iran and India (& Egypt, again). I know India has ambitions to build their own aircraft in this class, but a look at the LCA project is instructive. So there are a handful of potential customers with decent long-term economic prospects on the list (this is a 2030s contender, after all).


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