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As Kiltonge implied, there are even recent examples of the kinds of US political and administrative scrutiny F414 exports are under. As the current US power structure is displaying significant personalized, mercurial, authoritarian and extortive tendencies, it could very well react in a retaliatory manner toward Sweden and SAAB solely upon the prospect of losing US national export control leverage over Gripen.


Thus Sweden and SAAB (and their non-US allies) have to weigh carefully the pros and cons of maintaining increasingly precarious anticipatory deference to the US regime in this regard. These quite unprecedented considerations are hardly Gripen-specific but apply to it as well. Also, Gripen E/F is just entering the service even with Sweden's own air force and I think they've also stated (or implied) that decisions about its successor will not be taken until 2031. I wonder whether the current environment and its long-term ramifications will expedite this process.


I have to admit to not even having considered juxtaposing Gripen E/F to the F-16, me referring to a "a better, independent, competing alternative" was solely in the context of a speculative "Euro" version of Gripen not under any US export purview.


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