merriman said:
And, when an Orion mixed bag of vehicles brings the first NASA astronauts to Mars orbit, Musk or one of his troops will issue the following radio message:
"get your papers in order, and please present them to the immigration igloo upon touch-down".
David
Interesting coincidence... The current issue of Analog magazine has a short story that says exacty the same thing, except it's about the Moon.
That said, this kind of makes me pessimistic, at least for the US. The "2030s" are far enough in the future that all kinds of vague promisies and inspiring speeches can be made while pushing to actually do something will be theproblem of someone else (2030 being at least 2 Presidential Admininstrations away).
I note that this recent successful flight, SLS and future plans for Orion only came about because the Congress, in a bipartisan effort) forced the Administration to go forward. You'll recall that in 2009-2010 the plan was that Orion was to be reduced to just a lifeboat for the ISS. Even with this progress, it's going to be
Four years before the next unmanned flight and at least
Seven Years from Orion's first flight to a test with a manned capsule. Heck! It only took eight years to go to the Moon back when we meant it, and then we were starting from scratch. A classic example of vague promises while leaving the actual doing and funding to someone else.
While I greatly support Musk and the move of private industry into space, I'm not sure they'er going to lead the way to places like Mars or beyond because at first they won't see a return on investment. Unfortunately, I'm afraid it's going to take a government sponsored (read bloated) effort to first push the frontier. Once the first expeditions and initial science missions blaze the trail, private industry, if allowed, will run right past them.
Unless of course the EPA declares the surface of Mars a "Wetlands".