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Some historical context for what might have happened had the Japanese not surrendered:

http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB162/72.pdf

 

H[ull]: What General Marshall wants to know is the status of the development of these bombs so we can best determine how to use them. There’s one of them due up the 23rd as I recall it.

S[eaman]: There’s one ready to be shipped – waiting on order right now.

H: If the order is given now, when can it be ready?

S: Thursday would be its readiness; the 19th it would be dropped.

...

S: You have a possibility of seven, with a good chance of using them prior to the 31st of October.

H: They come out approximately at the rate of three a month.


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