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This. The perceived vulnerability of the SLBM force seems to be founded upon a rather preposterous "hand-waving" assumption."Once you know how to detect them easily and reliably" and "easy to sink baskets when located" amounts to a gross trivialization of the core sticking point in any attempt to preemptively hunt down the subs. Nobody has yet demonstrated a convincing method of doing so consistently, and even the longer term outlook appears doubtful. NATO was never able to do that to the USSR fleet to the extent that they could count on getting them all, and as time went on, what ability there was *eroded* instead of improving.Even once you have reason to suspect such a capability exists, the US at least (UK and France may lack the resources) can always move to a posture more akin to Soviet SSBN bastions.
This. The perceived vulnerability of the SLBM force seems to be founded upon a rather preposterous "hand-waving" assumption.
"Once you know how to detect them easily and reliably" and "easy to sink baskets when located" amounts to a gross trivialization of the core sticking point in any attempt to preemptively hunt down the subs. Nobody has yet demonstrated a convincing method of doing so consistently, and even the longer term outlook appears doubtful. NATO was never able to do that to the USSR fleet to the extent that they could count on getting them all, and as time went on, what ability there was *eroded* instead of improving.
Even once you have reason to suspect such a capability exists, the US at least (UK and France may lack the resources) can always move to a posture more akin to Soviet SSBN bastions.
