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Carriers might not become obsolete overnight, but they may (or may not) slowly dwindle into financial non-effectiveness over the next x decades (or even a 100 years). As surveillance of the seas increases with technology, and reach of weapons increases, so will the carriers have to keep further and further back from enemy shores. Which will diminish their effectiveness. And at some point the carrier will basically be there to lob very long range missiles itself, via its planes. So at a point where missiles themselves will have several times the range of the planes, the planes may simply be deemed too expensive for what they're worth, when combined with the added cost of a specialized ship needed for them. And we may then see (in up to 100 years) just land bases and various other ships (or submarines) hosting hundreds of various super-long-range missiles taking the carrier's place.

<blockquote data-quote="totoro" data-source="post: 368998" data-attributes="member: 6313"><p>Carriers might not become obsolete overnight, but they may (or may not) slowly dwindle into financial non-effectiveness over the next x decades (or even a 100 years).&nbsp; As surveillance of the seas increases with technology, and reach of weapons increases, so will the carriers have to keep further and further back from enemy shores. Which will diminish their effectiveness. And at some point the carrier will basically be there to lob very long range missiles itself, via its planes. So at a point where missiles themselves will have several times the range of the planes, the planes may simply be deemed too expensive for what they're worth, when combined with the added cost of a specialized ship needed for them. And we may then see (in up to 100 years) just land bases and various other ships (or submarines) hosting hundreds of various super-long-range missiles taking the carrier's place.</p></blockquote><p></p>

[QUOTE="totoro, post: 368998, member: 6313"] Carriers might not become obsolete overnight, but they may (or may not) slowly dwindle into financial non-effectiveness over the next x decades (or even a 100 years). As surveillance of the seas increases with technology, and reach of weapons increases, so will the carriers have to keep further and further back from enemy shores. Which will diminish their effectiveness. And at some point the carrier will basically be there to lob very long range missiles itself, via its planes. So at a point where missiles themselves will have several times the range of the planes, the planes may simply be deemed too expensive for what they're worth, when combined with the added cost of a specialized ship needed for them. And we may then see (in up to 100 years) just land bases and various other ships (or submarines) hosting hundreds of various super-long-range missiles taking the carrier's place. [/QUOTE]

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