If a country were suddenly trying to develop a 100 kilogram sun synchronous orbit capable nanosat/microsat three stage all solid expendable civilian launcher of completely fresh design, should one suspect that there are very real military motivations behind the development, and if so, how useful would such a launcher be? The business cases for all solid expendables are fundamentally poor, and with SpaceX pushing merrily along towards Falcon-9R, you would be left with either poor business chances, or some sort of subsidy/institutional backing to make it barely viable even in a non-profit scenario. Which leaves either indirect (demonstration/acquisition of relevant production technology)(aka solid rocket pork to keep the industrial base alive) or direct military applications.
So, aside from fantasies of on-demand spysat launches, what would such a capability be used for? Without much realtime guidance performance, it wouldn't seem to be a good BMD interceptor, but might make a passable ASAT?
So, aside from fantasies of on-demand spysat launches, what would such a capability be used for? Without much realtime guidance performance, it wouldn't seem to be a good BMD interceptor, but might make a passable ASAT?